TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Pavelka vs Vladimir Postelt 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012112119811111
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Pavelka above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 86 set 5, 11-1 · our read held Vladimir Postelt at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Radim Pavelka 28–41 Vladimir Postelt Radim Pavelka has won 28 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
28-41 in 69
Postelt
Wrong
gap of 13 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pavelka 1586 vs Postelt 1453
Pavelka
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pavelka 40% vs Postelt 20%
Pavelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pavelka 50% vs Postelt 30%
Pavelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pavelka -2 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Postelt) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPavelka 2.10 / Postelt 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pavelka)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13211654
Pavelka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 67 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back23% 21 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Postelt1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it86% 89 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePavelka3wins
AwayPostelt7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePavelka50%2 of 4
AwayPostelt83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pavelka4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S2Pavelka5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Pavelka3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Pavelka3Postelt4n = 7Postelt took 4 of 7
S5Pavelka1Postelt2n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPavelkaPosteltPavelka − PosteltBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.339.2−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPavelkaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 873 vs 423 / 80650.7%52.5%443 / 873 vs 423 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPavelka 2.10/Postelt 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pavelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 19:30R. Pavelka331111113V. Postelt197570
LSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka4611981172V. Postelt49711119113
WAug 29 · 22:00R. Pavelka51119911113V. Postelt4251111962
LAug 23 · 20:59R. Pavelka2011630V. Postelt351311113
WAug 23 · 18:30R. Pavelka4391112113V. Postelt331171051
LJul 12 · 19:30R. Pavelka356116121V. Postelt4511911143
LJul 5 · 18:00R. Pavelka48811118102V. Postelt52119911123
LJul 1 · 21:00R. Pavelka33115891V. Postelt3851111113
LJul 1 · 19:00R. Pavelka381311591V. Postelt4415711113
LJun 14 · 21:30R. Pavelka2671180V. Postelt351113113
R. Pavelka10
LSep 29 · 23:00K. Darin3.0013911113R. Pavelka1.361111481LSep 28 · 21:30T. Janata1.731111113R. Pavelka2.004390WSep 28 · 20:30R. Pavelka1.91101111113J. Trefny1.80127981WSep 28 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.251113113T. Janata1.5781150LSep 28 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.611111113R. Pavelka2.209770WSep 27 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.859111112112R. Pavelka1.85117614133LSep 27 · 20:30R. Pavelka2.5012880L. Krticka1.501411113WSep 27 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.00117511113J. Stolfa1.7361111992WSep 27 · 18:00M. Vedmoch2.5051151192R. Pavelka1.501111133113LSep 24 · 09:30R. Pavelka2.904480M. Sobisek1.351111113
V. Postelt10
WSep 30 · 01:00V. Postelt1.831112113J. Prokupek1.8381060WSep 29 · 22:30J. Plachy2.2071012101V. Postelt1.61111210123LSep 26 · 02:00V. Postelt2.5097130D. Kouble1.501111153LSep 26 · 01:00V. Postelt2.108690V. Cermak1.671111113LSep 26 · 00:00T. Janata1.5011117113V. Postelt2.50891161LSep 25 · 22:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113V. Postelt2.509680WSep 25 · 21:09V. Postelt1.721211113K. Novak2.0010590WSep 25 · 20:00K. Novak3.401015111192V. Postelt1.301213136113LSep 25 · 19:00M. Kolar2.101111113V. Postelt1.675680LSep 25 · 18:30V. Postelt1.4413911101J. Dedek2.6315114123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.