TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Dousa vs Jiri Dedek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Tomas Dousa at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 16–18 Jiri Dedek Tomas Dousa has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2154.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-18 in 34
Dedek
Correct
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1463 vs Dedek 1446
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 40% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 30% vs Dedek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -1 · Dedek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dousa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.833 / Dedek 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dousa)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13222514
Dousa1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 23) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dedek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa5wins
AwayDedek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa80%4 of 5
AwayDedek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dousa5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dousa5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousa4Dedek2n = 6Dousa took 4 of 6
S5Dousa1Dedek2n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaDedekDousa − DedekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.1+0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 707 vs 497 / 96749.2%51.4%348 / 707 vs 497 / 967Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.83/Dedek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 23:30T. Dousa50117117142J. Dedek55911811163
WSep 8 · 19:00T. Dousa44111111113J. Dedek31561371
LAug 24 · 20:58T. Dousa3986111132J. Dedek47111195113
LAug 24 · 19:30T. Dousa419111381J. Dedek3911215113
LAug 13 · 20:00T. Dousa32714110J. Dedek401116133
LAug 3 · 17:30T. Dousa238960J. Dedek331111113
WAug 3 · 16:30T. Dousa4061111123J. Dedek391199101
WJul 31 · 22:30T. Dousa432111113J. Dedek3119570
WJun 19 · 20:00T. Dousa41114411113J. Dedek4391111752
WMay 25 · 17:30T. Dousa331111113J. Dedek239950
T. Dousa10
WOct 1 · 15:00M. Kolar2.2511118752T. Dousa1.57471111113LSep 23 · 20:58T. Dousa1.673840P. Klusacek2.101111113WSep 23 · 20:00P. Klusacek1.83711391T. Dousa1.8311811113LSep 23 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631011911113T. Dousa1.4412711862LSep 23 · 18:30T. Dousa1.739580P. Fojt2.001111113WSep 21 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk2.50571161T. Dousa1.5011116113WSep 21 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631211111032T. Dousa1.44148712113LSep 21 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.83811911113T. Dousa1.8311511372LSep 21 · 18:30T. Dousa1.738980L. Krok2.001111113LSep 14 · 20:58M. Sedlak1.251111113T. Dousa3.757480
J. Dedek10
LOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123WOct 1 · 08:30J. Dedek1.401111113J. Steffan2.758670WOct 1 · 07:00J. Dedek1.33911911113J. Jnr3.2511411492LOct 1 · 06:00K. Darin1.831112106113J. Dedek1.83710121122LSep 29 · 17:30T. Kolenic1.5311811113J. Dedek2.38811661WSep 29 · 16:00J. Dedek1.36781111113J. Jnr3.0011112562LSep 29 · 15:30T. Kolenic1.6113129113J. Dedek2.2011101181WSep 29 · 14:00J. Dedek1.3341111113F. Briza3.25118591LSep 28 · 17:00L. Stacho1.67391411113J. Dedek2.10111112742LSep 28 · 16:30J. Dedek2.103660M. Kolar1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
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