TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Sedlak vs Kyryl Darin 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911113911118119
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched: 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMarek Sedlak to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Marek Sedlak at 55.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Marek Sedlak 1–0 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2855.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 9.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sedlak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedlak 1512 vs Darin 1598
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlak 60% vs Darin 80%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlak 40% vs Darin 70%
Darin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlak +1 · Darin +4
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Sedlak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlak 1.533 / Darin 2.375
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Darin)+2.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13228024
Sedlak1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 18 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 8 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Darin2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 172 of 420
Down 0–1, comes back20% 47 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSedlak1wins
AwayDarin0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSedlak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSedlakDarinS − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.042.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlakDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 123 vs 780 / 157847.2%49.4%58 / 123 vs 780 / 1578Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakSedlak 1.53/Darin 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.6%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 2 · 18:30M. Sedlak51911911113K. Darin4211311892
M. Sedlak10
LOct 2 · 19:00J. Dedek2.63111178123M. Sedlak1.44641111102WSep 14 · 20:58M. Sedlak1.251111113T. Dousa3.757480LSep 14 · 20:30M. Sedlak1.80581191L. Krticka1.9111114113WSep 14 · 19:00M. Sedlak1.20891111113T. Dousa4.3311118982LSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113WSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751LSep 9 · 16:59M. Vedmoch1.73111310113M. Sedlak2.008111281
K. Darin10
WOct 2 · 03:30K. Darin1.4711812113O. Kucirek2.508111081WOct 2 · 02:00P. Picek2.2551161142K. Darin1.57115118113WOct 2 · 00:30K. Darin1.5371111113J. Steffan2.38117491WOct 1 · 23:00K. Darin1.67148117113M. Placek2.10121191142LOct 1 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.7511117123K. Darin1.406911101WOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123LOct 1 · 08:00K. Darin1.6198131162J. Jnr2.201111115113WOct 1 · 07:30J. Steffan2.38134611112K. Darin1.531111117133WOct 1 · 06:00K. Darin1.831112106113J. Dedek1.83710121122LSep 30 · 03:30K. Darin2.25851181R. Pavelka1.5811113113
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