TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Picek vs Kyryl Darin 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115611118411
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:53 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 83 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Kyryl Darin at 61.7%
83 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 46–37 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 37 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:5361.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
46-37 in 83
Picek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1435 vs Darin 1596
Darin
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 40% vs Darin 60%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 40% vs Darin 70%
Darin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek -1 · Darin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Darin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 2.25 / Darin 1.571
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Darin)-2.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222648
Picek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back9% 5 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Darin1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 161 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it93% 84 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it77% 111 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek2wins
AwayDarin8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek25%1 of 4
AwayDarin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Picek4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Picek3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Picek2Darin5n = 7Darin took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekDarinP − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.237.4−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 550 vs 780 / 157949.6%49.4%273 / 550 vs 780 / 1579Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DarinPicek 2.25/Darin 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 00:00P. Picek187650K. Darin331111113
LSep 8 · 00:30P. Picek2210570K. Darin341211113
LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek25211571K. Darin4011711113
WJul 24 · 01:00P. Picek331111113K. Darin239680
LJul 19 · 02:30P. Picek3711101151K. Darin4261213113
LJul 13 · 23:30P. Picek37911981K. Darin4211911113
LJul 8 · 23:30P. Picek378811101K. Darin3911115123
LJun 28 · 01:00P. Picek551110911142K. Darin57912119163
LJun 22 · 00:00P. Picek31118481K. Darin3961111113
WJun 3 · 03:00P. Picek3741111113K. Darin25115721
P. Picek10
LOct 2 · 03:00P. Picek2.758560M. Placek1.401111113LOct 2 · 01:00P. Picek3.507790O. Kucirek1.281111113WOct 2 · 00:00M. Placek1.36115871P. Picek3.0091111113WOct 1 · 22:30J. Steffan1.91139130P. Picek1.801511153LSep 30 · 02:58O. Fejtek1.53914411113P. Picek2.38111211582LSep 30 · 01:30P. Picek2.75951171M. Placek1.4011115113WSep 30 · 00:30R. Bartunek3.002790P. Picek1.361111113LSep 29 · 23:30J. Steffan1.91412124113P. Picek1.801110101192LSep 29 · 22:30P. Picek1.831281141O. Fejtek1.8314117113LSep 26 · 03:00P. Picek1.771191081T. Andrle1.9381112113
K. Darin10
WOct 2 · 00:30K. Darin1.5371111113J. Steffan2.38117491WOct 1 · 23:00K. Darin1.67148117113M. Placek2.10121191142LOct 1 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.7511117123K. Darin1.406911101WOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123LOct 1 · 08:00K. Darin1.6198131162J. Jnr2.201111115113WOct 1 · 07:30J. Steffan2.38134611112K. Darin1.531111117133WOct 1 · 06:00K. Darin1.831112106113J. Dedek1.83710121122LSep 30 · 03:30K. Darin2.25851181R. Pavelka1.5811113113WSep 30 · 02:00V. Postelt1.141411991K. Darin5.0016511113WSep 30 · 00:30K. Darin2.20911119113J. Plachy1.6111941122
Upcoming Matches
P. Picek
Nothing scheduled
K. Darin
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