TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Picek vs Tomas Andrle 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1189111012811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Picek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 21–16 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Picek beat Andrle 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Picek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-16 in 37
Picek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1459 vs Andrle 1458
Picek
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 40% vs Andrle 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 50% vs Andrle 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek +1 · Andrle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Picek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 1.77 / Andrle 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Picek)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13198273
Picek1.77
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 57 of 71
Andrle1.93
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 41 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek100%5 of 5
AwayAndrle80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S2Picek3Andrle7n = 10Andrle took 7 of 10
S3Picek6Andrle4n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S4Picek3Andrle2n = 5Picek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekAndrleP − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.733.8+1.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 557 vs 235 / 48250.5%48.8%281 / 557 vs 235 / 482Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekPicek 1.77/Andrle 1.93
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 22:30P. Picek4211811123T. Andrle379117101
LSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek154830T. Andrle331111113
WSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek516111112113T. Andrle46111351072
WSep 22 · 02:58P. Picek331111113T. Andrle132650
WSep 21 · 22:30P. Picek51119119113T. Andrle4391171152
LJul 17 · 00:00P. Picek2358100T. Andrle341111123
LMay 20 · 00:00P. Picek39813991T. Andrle44111111113
WMay 17 · 22:30P. Picek331111113T. Andrle155730
WMay 6 · 02:00P. Picek4312911113T. Andrle371011881
LApr 25 · 03:29P. Picek2712780T. Andrle361411113
P. Picek10
WSep 26 · 02:00P. Picek1.36111188113R. Bartunek3.0076111162LSep 26 · 01:00P. Picek3.40811100O. Kucirek1.301113123LSep 26 · 00:00K. Darin1.671111113P. Picek2.107650WSep 25 · 22:30T. Andrle1.809117101P. Picek1.9111811123LSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek1.734830T. Andrle2.001111113LSep 24 · 02:30J. Jnr1.571111113P. Picek2.253920WSep 24 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.639940P. Picek1.441111113WSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072LSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113
T. Andrle10
LSep 26 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0011911542K. Darin1.73911711113WSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 23:30O. Kucirek2.00114911123T. Andrle1.73811118102LSep 25 · 22:30T. Andrle1.809117101P. Picek1.9111811123WSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek1.734830T. Andrle2.001111113LSep 24 · 01:30T. Andrle2.10510110J. Jnr1.671112133WSep 24 · 00:30O. Kucirek2.0056131172T. Andrle1.731111116113LSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072WSep 23 · 22:30T. Andrle1.44119818113A. Svoboda2.63311111662LSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113
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