TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Kucirek vs Tomas Andrle 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1184119111181210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 54.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 9–10 Tomas Andrle Ondrej Kucirek has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucirek 1516 vs Andrle 1463
Kucirek
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucirek 80% vs Andrle 40%
Kucirek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucirek 70% vs Andrle 50%
Kucirek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucirek +3 · Andrle -1
Kucirek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Andrle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 2.00 / Andrle 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Andrle)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189416
Kucirek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Andrle1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 51 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it78% 40 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucirek6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKucirek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucirek100%5 of 5
AwayAndrle80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucirek5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S2Kucirek5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S3Kucirek4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S4Kucirek5Andrle2n = 7Kucirek took 5 of 7
S5Kucirek2Andrle1n = 3Kucirek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucirekAndrleK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.2−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 434 vs 234 / 47950.2%48.9%218 / 434 vs 234 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleKucirek 2.00/Andrle 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 00:30O. Kucirek4256131172T. Andrle501111116113
LSep 16 · 20:30O. Kucirek35871191T. Andrle3711114113
WAug 11 · 02:00O. Kucirek351111133T. Andrle2476110
WJul 1 · 23:30O. Kucirek38111132113T. Andrle4597111172
LJun 2 · 01:00O. Kucirek2313640T. Andrle371511113
WApr 2 · 22:00O. Kucirek3511112113T. Andrle33881161
WMar 26 · 03:30O. Kucirek45115711113T. Andrle4491111672
LMar 13 · 01:00O. Kucirek185670T. Andrle331111113
WFeb 26 · 03:30O. Kucirek4613119133T. Andrle4211911111
WFeb 12 · 01:30O. Kucirek45111111123T. Andrle371377101
O. Kucirek10
WSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970WSep 24 · 03:28O. Kucirek1.671111113J. Jnr2.108790WSep 24 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.674590O. Kucirek2.101111113LSep 24 · 00:30O. Kucirek2.0056131172T. Andrle1.731111116113WSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek1.7311116113J. Jnr2.00271171WSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 19 · 02:58D. Horak1.301061181O. Kucirek3.4012119113LSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 00:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111
T. Andrle10
WSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 22:30T. Andrle1.809117101P. Picek1.9111811123WSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek1.734830T. Andrle2.001111113LSep 24 · 01:30T. Andrle2.10510110J. Jnr1.671112133WSep 24 · 00:30O. Kucirek2.0056131172T. Andrle1.731111116113LSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072WSep 23 · 22:30T. Andrle1.44119818113A. Svoboda2.63311111662LSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0081191362J. Jnr1.731111111113WSep 22 · 00:30J. Steffan1.571311117102T. Andrle2.25159611123
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