TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Kucirek vs Jan Varcl Jnr 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Ondrej Kucirek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117119––––
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingOndrej Kucirek above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kucirek 8–6 Jan Varcl Jnr Jan Varcl Jnr has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kucirek beat Jnr 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kucirek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucirek 1.67 / Jnr 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kucirek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13187537
Kucirek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 50 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Jnr2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 18 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucirek6wins
AwayJnr4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKucirek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucirek66.7%2 of 3
AwayJnr42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucirek3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S2Kucirek7Jnr3n = 10Kucirek took 7 of 10
S3Kucirek6Jnr4n = 10Kucirek took 6 of 10
S4Kucirek5Jnr3n = 8Kucirek took 5 of 8
S5Kucirek2Jnr2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKucirekJnrK − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.2+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucirekJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 437 vs 126 / 24250.1%52.1%219 / 437 vs 126 / 242Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucirekKucirek 1.67/Jnr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kucirek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek3911116113J. Jnr27271171
WAug 13 · 03:00O. Kucirek331111113J. Jnr219750
WAug 12 · 22:30O. Kucirek43101111113J. Jnr34127781
LAug 11 · 01:00O. Kucirek521111137102J. Jnr569131111123
LJul 1 · 22:30O. Kucirek31771161J. Jnr4211119113
LMay 21 · 02:30O. Kucirek41611112112J. Jnr52119811133
LApr 13 · 20:00O. Kucirek2391040J. Jnr341112113
WMar 19 · 03:30O. Kucirek3961111113J. Jnr32114891
WFeb 26 · 04:30O. Kucirek531011912113J. Jnr47127111072
WFeb 26 · 24:00O. Kucirek52613511173J. Jnr571111119152
O. Kucirek10
WSep 24 · 02:00A. Svoboda1.674590O. Kucirek2.101111113LSep 24 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.0056131172T. Andrle1.731111116113WSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek1.7311116113J. Jnr2.00271171WSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 19 · 02:58D. Horak1.301061181O. Kucirek3.4012119113LSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111LSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123WSep 16 · 20:58O. Kucirek2.001211113J. Steffan1.7310440
J. Jnr10
WSep 24 · 02:30J. Jnr1.571111113P. Picek2.253920WSep 24 · 01:30T. Andrle2.10510110J. Jnr1.671112133WSep 24 · 24:00J. Jnr1.3661111113A. Svoboda3.00114771LSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek1.7311116113J. Jnr2.00271171WSep 22 · 03:30J. Jnr1.6311111113J. Steffan2.13114791WSep 22 · 02:30J. Jnr1.441111113A. Svoboda2.635880WSep 22 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0081191362J. Jnr1.731111111113WSep 22 · 24:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991WSep 21 · 23:00J. Steffan2.20911911112J. Jnr1.61117117133LSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113
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