TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Andrle vs Jan Varcl Jnr 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
51110121113––––
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJan Varcl Jnr to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 62 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jan Varcl Jnr at 57.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 7–9 Jan Varcl Jnr Tomas Andrle has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Jnr
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1483 vs Jnr 1506
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 40% vs Jnr 80%
Jnr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 50% vs Jnr 80%
Jnr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +1 · Jnr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 2.10 / Jnr 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jnr)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178840
Andrle2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 40 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Jnr1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 39 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAndrle6wins
AwayJnr4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAndrle leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle71.4%5 of 7
AwayJnr66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle7Jnr3n = 10Andrle took 7 of 10
S2Andrle6Jnr4n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S3Andrle4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S4Andrle6Jnr3n = 9Andrle took 6 of 9
S5Andrle1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAndrleJnrA − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.6+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 476 vs 124 / 24049%51.7%233 / 476 vs 124 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrAndrle 2.10/Jnr 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 01:30T. Andrle4781191362J. Jnr451111111113
LAug 11 · 02:58T. Andrle3111331132J. Jnr45511117113
WAug 10 · 22:00T. Andrle3711114113J. Jnr31961151
WJul 7 · 19:00T. Andrle46101211133J. Jnr4212109111
WJul 2 · 01:00T. Andrle371311133J. Jnr29117110
LFeb 25 · 23:00T. Andrle31711761J. Jnr4011711113
LJan 12 · 23:00T. Andrle341111481J. Jnr4161311113
WDec 18 · 10:00T. Andrle49111188113J. Jnr4256111192
WDec 18 · 07:00T. Andrle4411911133J. Jnr338113111
WNov 19 · 08:00T. Andrle4111811113J. Jnr38911991
T. Andrle10
WSep 24 · 24:30O. Kucirek2.0056131172T. Andrle1.731111116113LSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072WSep 23 · 22:30T. Andrle1.44119818113A. Svoboda2.63311111662LSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0081191362J. Jnr1.731111111113WSep 22 · 24:30J. Steffan1.571311117102T. Andrle2.25159611123WSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda2.251560T. Andrle1.571111113LSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461
J. Jnr10
WSep 24 · 02:30J. Jnr1.571111113P. Picek2.253920WSep 24 · 24:00J. Jnr1.3661111113A. Svoboda3.00114771LSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek1.7311116113J. Jnr2.00271171WSep 22 · 03:30J. Jnr1.6311111113J. Steffan2.13114791WSep 22 · 02:30J. Jnr1.441111113A. Svoboda2.635880WSep 22 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0081191362J. Jnr1.731111111113WSep 22 · 24:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991WSep 21 · 23:00J. Steffan2.20911911112J. Jnr1.61117117133LSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113WSep 14 · 08:30M. Stefek3.257490J. Jnr1.331111113
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