TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Kyryl Darin vs Petr Picek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116115––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:51 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 55.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 36–46 Petr Picek Kyryl Darin has won 36 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-46 in 82
Picek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1525 vs Picek 1472
Darin
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Picek 60%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 60% vs Picek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +1 · Picek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.67 / Picek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Darin)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189407
Darin1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it93% 80 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 139
Picek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 22 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin8wins
AwayPicek2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin83.3%5 of 6
AwayPicek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin6Picek4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Darin5Picek5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin7Picek3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Darin6Picek2n = 8Darin took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinPicekD − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.034.4+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime776 / 1581 vs 282 / 55749.1%50.6%776 / 1581 vs 282 / 557Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.67/Picek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 00:30K. Darin341211113P. Picek2210570
WSep 1 · 02:00K. Darin4011711113P. Picek25211571
LJul 24 · 01:00K. Darin239680P. Picek331111113
WJul 19 · 02:30K. Darin4261213113P. Picek3711101151
WJul 13 · 23:30K. Darin4211911113P. Picek37911981
WJul 8 · 23:30K. Darin3911115123P. Picek378811101
WJun 28 · 01:00K. Darin57912119163P. Picek551110911142
WJun 22 · 00:00K. Darin3961111113P. Picek31118481
LJun 3 · 03:00K. Darin25115721P. Picek3741111113
WJun 3 · 00:30K. Darin3911611113P. Picek30511591
K. Darin10
WSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 13:30K. Darin1.6361211992J. Steffan2.151110511113WSep 25 · 12:00K. Darin1.4411117113L. Malek2.63581191WSep 25 · 11:30A. Svoboda2.505116101K. Darin1.5011811123WSep 25 · 10:00K. Darin1.531111123J. Steffan2.3886100WSep 24 · 16:59K. Darin2.00781111113P. Klusacek1.7311114372WSep 24 · 16:30K. Darin2.20131214113P. Klusacek1.6111141271LSep 24 · 15:00K. Darin2.201228101J. Prokupek1.61101111123LSep 24 · 14:00J. Stolfa1.4012911113K. Darin2.751011571LSep 24 · 03:30J. Prokupek1.601111113K. Darin2.209460
P. Picek10
WSep 25 · 22:30T. Andrle1.809117101P. Picek1.9111811123LSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek1.734830T. Andrle2.001111113LSep 24 · 02:30J. Jnr1.571111113P. Picek2.253920WSep 24 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.639940P. Picek1.441111113WSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072LSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 02:00P. Picek1.804380J. Steffan1.911111113WSep 22 · 01:00P. Picek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387660LSep 22 · 00:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991
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