TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Picek vs Radek Bartunek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117116811811116
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:40 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Petr Picek at 72.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 29–9 Radek Bartunek Radek Bartunek has won 9 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Picek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-9 in 38
Picek
Correct
gap of 20 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1449 vs Bartunek 1408
Picek
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 20% vs Bartunek 0%
Picek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 40% vs Bartunek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek -2 · Bartunek -6
Bartunek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Picek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 1.36 / Bartunek 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Picek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13189100
Picek1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 57 of 71
Bartunek3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 40 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek9wins
AwayBartunek1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek100%6 of 6
AwayBartunek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek6Bartunek4n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S2Picek7Bartunek3n = 10Picek took 7 of 10
S3Picek10Bartunek0n = 10Picek took 10 of 10
S4Picek4Bartunek1n = 5Picek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekBartunekP − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.427.5+10.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 557 vs 344 / 66250.5%52%281 / 557 vs 344 / 662Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekPicek 1.36/Bartunek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek4391111123R. Bartunek371179101
WAug 20 · 23:00P. Picek331111113R. Bartunek173860
WAug 12 · 22:30P. Picek45121111113R. Bartunek291013331
WAug 2 · 02:58P. Picek331111113R. Bartunek207490
WAug 1 · 23:00P. Picek50881112113R. Bartunek44111171052
WJul 27 · 23:30P. Picek351111133R. Bartunek1632110
WJul 24 · 23:30P. Picek361111143R. Bartunek1613120
WJul 19 · 01:00P. Picek331111113R. Bartunek205870
WJul 9 · 00:30P. Picek4181111113R. Bartunek34117791
LApr 3 · 23:00P. Picek355911101R. Bartunek4211118123
P. Picek10
LSep 26 · 01:00P. Picek3.40811100O. Kucirek1.301113123LSep 26 · 00:00K. Darin1.671111113P. Picek2.107650WSep 25 · 22:30T. Andrle1.809117101P. Picek1.9111811123LSep 24 · 02:58P. Picek1.734830T. Andrle2.001111113LSep 24 · 02:30J. Jnr1.571111113P. Picek2.253920WSep 24 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.639940P. Picek1.441111113WSep 23 · 23:30P. Picek1.736111112113T. Andrle2.00111351072LSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 02:00P. Picek1.804380J. Steffan1.911111113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 26 · 00:30R. Bartunek2.633680T. Andrle1.441111113LSep 25 · 23:00R. Bartunek2.755540K. Darin1.401111113LSep 25 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.101511113R. Bartunek1.6713970LSep 23 · 21:30J. Steffan1.80111110113R. Bartunek1.90861261LSep 23 · 20:00R. Bartunek1.671081181J. Steffan2.1012117113LSep 23 · 19:30J. Moravek2.50119118123R. Bartunek1.50911711102WSep 23 · 18:00R. Bartunek1.61117115133V. Kosar2.20611911112WSep 23 · 03:30R. Bartunek1.681113113M. Stefek2.0581150LSep 23 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.73111110113R. Bartunek2.00851281WSep 23 · 01:00M. Stefek2.501111891R. Bartunek1.5013511113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.