TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Dedek vs Kyryl Darin 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 49–40 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 40 of their 89 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:2954.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
49-40 in 89
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1491 vs Darin 1605
Darin
Correct
both rated, 114 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 80% vs Darin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 70% vs Darin 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +1 · Darin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Darin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.833 / Darin 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Darin)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13228172
Dedek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Darin1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek5wins
AwayDarin5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek100%3 of 3
AwayDarin71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S2Dedek4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Dedek8Darin2n = 10Dedek took 8 of 10
S4Dedek6Darin1n = 7Dedek took 6 of 7
S5Dedek1Darin3n = 4Darin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekDarinDedek − DarinBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.835.7+2.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime502 / 973 vs 781 / 157951.6%49.5%502 / 973 vs 781 / 1579Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDedek 1.83/Darin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek46591111102K. Darin51111198123
LOct 1 · 06:00J. Dedek42710121122K. Darin501112106113
LSep 24 · 00:30J. Dedek4488111162K. Darin48111196113
WSep 21 · 12:58J. Dedek4071111113K. Darin31112991
WSep 21 · 10:00J. Dedek331111113K. Darin188550
LSep 20 · 02:59J. Dedek27611191K. Darin3811115113
LSep 20 · 02:30J. Dedek226880K. Darin331111113
WSep 2 · 13:00J. Dedek3912313113K. Darin3810111161
WSep 2 · 10:00J. Dedek521111811113K. Darin3213311232
WAug 27 · 12:58J. Dedek331111113K. Darin188550
J. Dedek10
LOct 2 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.50661111113J. Dedek2.5011117782WOct 2 · 19:00J. Dedek2.63111178123M. Sedlak1.44641111102LOct 2 · 18:00T. Dousa2.00111315123J. Dedek1.7381117101WOct 1 · 17:30J. Dedek1.50411611113Y. Holovatiuk2.5011711792WOct 1 · 16:30M. Kolar1.57471171J. Dedek2.2511118113WOct 1 · 15:30J. Dedek1.44511116113Y. Holovatiuk2.6311251152WOct 1 · 14:30T. Dousa1.839970J. Dedek1.831111113LOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123WOct 1 · 08:30J. Dedek1.401111113J. Steffan2.758670WOct 1 · 07:00J. Dedek1.33911911113J. Jnr3.2511411492
K. Darin10
WOct 2 · 21:30T. Dousa1.738511111K. Darin2.0011119133WOct 2 · 19:30K. Darin2.101111511123T. Dousa1.67591113102LOct 2 · 18:30M. Sedlak1.53911911113K. Darin2.3811311892WOct 2 · 03:30K. Darin1.4711812113O. Kucirek2.508111081WOct 2 · 02:00P. Picek2.2551161142K. Darin1.57115118113WOct 2 · 00:30K. Darin1.5371111113J. Steffan2.38117491WOct 1 · 23:00K. Darin1.67148117113M. Placek2.10121191142LOct 1 · 22:00O. Kucirek2.7511117123K. Darin1.406911101WOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123LOct 1 · 08:00K. Darin1.6198131162J. Jnr2.201111115113
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