TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Dedek vs Yurii Holovatiuk 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511112115611115
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:25 and never touched: 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 78 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Jiri Dedek at 62.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 26–17 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 17 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2562.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 6.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
26-17 in 43
Dedek
Correct
gap of 9 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1460 vs Holovatiuk 1471
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Holovatiuk 40%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Holovatiuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +1 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Dedek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.444 / Holovatiuk 2.625
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Dedek)-6.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222564
Dedek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 139 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it82% 104 of 127
Holovatiuk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 60 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek6wins
AwayHolovatiuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek100%5 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Dedek6Holovatiuk4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Dedek6Holovatiuk4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Dedek4Holovatiuk0n = 4Dedek took 4 of 4
S5Dedek1Holovatiuk2n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekHolovatiukD − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.528.9+5.6per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 968 vs 342 / 69051.5%49.6%498 / 968 vs 342 / 690Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.44/Holovatiuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.7%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 01:00J. Dedek44441114113Y. Holovatiuk52111191292
LSep 16 · 16:00J. Dedek219390Y. Holovatiuk331111113
WSep 14 · 21:00J. Dedek4211911113Y. Holovatiuk22511331
LSep 14 · 19:30J. Dedek4061141182Y. Holovatiuk48118117113
WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek331111113Y. Holovatiuk122550
LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek4091161132Y. Holovatiuk41115113113
WAug 23 · 22:30J. Dedek331111113Y. Holovatiuk136340
WMay 30 · 22:30J. Dedek331111113Y. Holovatiuk159150
WMay 27 · 20:58J. Dedek381116113Y. Holovatiuk2011450
LMay 27 · 20:30J. Dedek217860Y. Holovatiuk331111113
J. Dedek10
WOct 1 · 14:30T. Dousa1.839970J. Dedek1.831111113LOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123WOct 1 · 08:30J. Dedek1.401111113J. Steffan2.758670WOct 1 · 07:00J. Dedek1.33911911113J. Jnr3.2511411492LOct 1 · 06:00K. Darin1.831112106113J. Dedek1.83710121122LSep 29 · 17:30T. Kolenic1.5311811113J. Dedek2.38811661WSep 29 · 16:00J. Dedek1.36781111113J. Jnr3.0011112562LSep 29 · 15:30T. Kolenic1.6113129113J. Dedek2.2011101181WSep 29 · 14:00J. Dedek1.3341111113F. Briza3.25118591LSep 28 · 17:00L. Stacho1.67391411113J. Dedek2.10111112742
Y. Holovatiuk10
WOct 1 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63911911113T. Dousa1.4411311752WOct 1 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk1.611411133M. Kolar2.20125110LSep 23 · 21:30P. Fojt1.431111113Y. Holovatiuk2.655450LSep 23 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.6311911672P. Fojt1.44811711113WSep 23 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631011911113T. Dousa1.4412711862LSep 23 · 18:00P. Klusacek1.8371111113Y. Holovatiuk1.83115391LSep 21 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk2.50571161T. Dousa1.5011116113LSep 21 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631211111032T. Dousa1.44148712113WSep 21 · 19:30L. Krok1.44881141Y. Holovatiuk2.6311117113LSep 21 · 18:00Y. Holovatiuk1.83111375102J. Prokupek1.837111111123
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