TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalibor Kolek vs Pavel Varecha 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114511911811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:28 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePavel Varecha to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Kolek above · Pavel Varecha below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Pavel Varecha at 59.7%
70 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:2859.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Varecha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1313 vs Varecha 1393
Varecha
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 60% vs Varecha 100%
Varecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Varecha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +2 · Varecha +5
Varecha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Varecha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varecha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.25 / Varecha 1.571
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Varecha)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216851
Kolek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Varecha1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 38 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekVarechaBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 37 vs 112 / 23237.8%48.3%14 / 37 vs 112 / 232Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VarechaKolek 2.25/Varecha 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Varecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Varecha won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kolek10
WSep 30 · 10:30E. Sionkala1.44119811102D. Kolek2.63811119123WSep 12 · 12:58A. Schneeberger1.50111191252D. Kolek2.50971114113LSep 12 · 12:30A. Schneeberger1.67111111113D. Kolek2.10139841WSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172LSep 12 · 10:30D. Priesol1.73411116113D. Kolek2.0011641132LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143
P. Varecha10
WSep 30 · 12:00P. Varecha1.6711113143E. Sionkala2.108511121WSep 30 · 10:00P. Varecha2.10121110113J. Stach1.671081291WSep 29 · 09:30P. Varecha1.251181211113A. Virag3.7581114992WSep 29 · 08:00P. Varecha1.301111113A. Virag3.405450WSep 29 · 07:30Z. Zientek1.911312981P. Varecha1.80111411113WSep 29 · 06:00P. Varecha1.531111113D. Mikula2.385540LSep 21 · 12:58I. Taichman1.5711139113P. Varecha2.255111191LSep 21 · 12:30F. Zurek1.5011711113P. Varecha2.50911381LSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113LSep 21 · 10:30I. Taichman1.831212113P. Varecha1.83101090
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