TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Eduard Sionkala vs Dalibor Kolek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189118111191012
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched: 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeEduard Sionkala to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEduard Sionkala above · Dalibor Kolek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Eduard Sionkala at 64.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Eduard Sionkala 0–1 Dalibor Kolek Eduard Sionkala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:2564.5%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 4.8pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sionkala
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sionkala 1348 vs Kolek 1313
Sionkala
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sionkala 0% vs Kolek 40%
Kolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sionkala 40% vs Kolek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sionkala -5 · Kolek +1
Sionkala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Sionkala) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSionkala 1.444 / Kolek 2.625
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sionkala)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216792
Sionkala1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 26 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it61% 19 of 31
Kolek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 18 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSionkala0wins
AwayKolek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKolek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSionkalaKolekS − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.051.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSionkalaKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 156 vs 14 / 3747.4%37.8%74 / 156 vs 14 / 37Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaSionkala 1.44/Kolek 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 30 · 10:30E. Sionkala49119811102D. Kolek51811119123
E. Sionkala10
WSep 30 · 11:00J. Stach2.381194141E. Sionkala1.5371111163LSep 17 · 13:09F. Zurek2.25311911113E. Sionkala1.5511711972LSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113LSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:00E. Sionkala2.38117491F. Zurek1.5391111113LSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113WSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371
D. Kolek10
LSep 30 · 11:30D. Kolek2.25115981P. Varecha1.5741111113WSep 12 · 12:58A. Schneeberger1.50111191252D. Kolek2.50971114113LSep 12 · 12:30A. Schneeberger1.67111111113D. Kolek2.10139841WSep 12 · 11:30D. Kolek2.63111148113R. Kvasnicka1.4499111172LSep 12 · 10:30D. Priesol1.73411116113D. Kolek2.0011641132LAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690LAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640WAug 28 · 19:00Z. Zientek1.9111980D. Kolek1.801311113WAug 28 · 18:30D. Kolek1.80101111123D. Tyn1.911247101WAug 15 · 16:59M. Kolek1.20911133122D. Kolek4.331191111143
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