TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Laurent Lasota vs Filip Theodor 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81110121151113––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:36 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Theodor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Filip Theodor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 81 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Filip Theodor at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lasota
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1504 vs Theodor 1524
Theodor
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 40% vs Theodor 100%
Theodor
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 40% vs Theodor 90%
Theodor
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota -1 · Theodor +7
Theodor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Theodor) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 1.73 / Theodor 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Theodor)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13215868
Lasota1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 50 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42
Theodor2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 28 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaTheodorBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 295 vs 91 / 18849.5%48.4%146 / 295 vs 91 / 188Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorLasota 1.73/Theodor 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Theodor won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Lasota10
LSep 29 · 19:45L. Lasota1.83451181D. Branny1.8311117113LSep 29 · 17:45L. Lasota1.679890V. Reska2.101111113WSep 28 · 12:40D. Vitasek1.7311470L. Lasota2.001311113WSep 28 · 12:15J. Volny1.808750L. Lasota1.911111113LSep 28 · 11:15L. Lasota1.801171141D. Vitasek1.9113116113LSep 28 · 09:45P. Vinansky1.401111113L. Lasota2.755570LSep 14 · 08:45L. Lasota1.839111181D. Pawlik1.8311133113LSep 14 · 08:15L. Lasota2.005990L. Dzida1.731111113WSep 14 · 06:45D. Pawlik1.8081181182L. Lasota1.91114119113LSep 14 · 06:15R. Sedlacek2.5011711113L. Lasota1.50311851
F. Theodor10
WSep 29 · 18:15D. Branny1.6111711101F. Theodor2.2041113123WSep 23 · 21:20F. Theodor2.001111123K. Zeman1.7337100WSep 23 · 19:45V. Reska1.67121111632F. Theodor2.10148911113WSep 23 · 19:15P. Chvojka1.911041381F. Theodor1.80121111113WSep 23 · 18:15F. Theodor2.00891112123K. Zeman1.731111610102WSep 21 · 17:08K. Przeczek1.73911731F. Theodor2.0011511113WSep 21 · 15:40F. Theodor2.25115119123O. Skvor1.57811811102LSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133WSep 21 · 13:40F. Theodor1.80681111113O. Coufal1.9111114692WSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113
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