TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Hovorunets vs Oleh Miklukha 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111181179111210
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched: 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Hovorunets to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Hovorunets above · Oleh Miklukha below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Serhii Hovorunets at 75.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Hovorunets 4–1 Oleh Miklukha Oleh Miklukha has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hovorunets
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Hovorunets
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hovorunets 1295 vs Miklukha 1126
Hovorunets
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hovorunets 80% vs Miklukha 20%
Hovorunets
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hovorunets 70% vs Miklukha 20%
Hovorunets
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hovorunets +2 · Miklukha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Hovorunets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHovorunets 1.33 / Miklukha 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hovorunets)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13212914
Hovorunets1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 49 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Miklukha3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 39 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeHovorunets4wins
AwayMiklukha1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHovorunets leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHovorunetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMiklukha33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hovorunets2Miklukha3n = 5Miklukha took 3 of 5
S2Hovorunets3Miklukha2n = 5Hovorunets took 3 of 5
S3Hovorunets3Miklukha2n = 5Hovorunets took 3 of 5
S4Hovorunets3Miklukha1n = 4Hovorunets took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricHovorunetsMiklukhaH − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.034.6+3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHovorunetsMiklukhaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 473 vs 209 / 45348.6%46.1%230 / 473 vs 209 / 453Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HovorunetsHovorunets 1.33/Miklukha 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Hovorunets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hovorunets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 15 · 15:40S. Hovorunets52811139113O. Miklukha46117111162
WAug 19 · 08:30S. Hovorunets3512111113O. Miklukha271031131
WAug 18 · 09:28S. Hovorunets47121111133O. Miklukha361465111
LJun 17 · 11:10S. Hovorunets142570O. Miklukha331111113
WJun 10 · 06:30S. Hovorunets4212811113O. Miklukha311011731
S. Hovorunets10
WSep 29 · 11:40V. Stukalov2.631990S. Hovorunets1.441111113WSep 23 · 11:05V. Korniichuk1.50211411102S. Hovorunets2.50117113123LSep 23 · 10:05S. Hovorunets2.00121151132S. Semenets1.73146115113WSep 23 · 09:05S. Hovorunets1.8341111113D. Khavanskyi1.83114471WSep 23 · 07:35S. Hovorunets1.5011116123V. Stukalov2.503711101WSep 23 · 05:35S. Hovorunets1.91118119113M. Khalenko1.8031161182LSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.50610111192S. Hovorunets1.50111295113WSep 22 · 13:40S. Semenets1.6711971182S. Hovorunets2.10811119113LSep 22 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.671011881D. Khavanskyi2.1012811113
O. Miklukha10
WSep 29 · 10:40V. Mukhin2.251179101O. Miklukha1.5791111123LSep 27 · 17:10O. Miklukha3.00131080V. Kondratenko1.361512113LSep 27 · 15:10V. Varchenko1.83471111143O. Miklukha1.83111167122LSep 27 · 14:10O. Miklukha1.83791131P. Ostrovskyi1.8311118113LSep 27 · 13:10V. Kucheriavyi1.731111711113O. Miklukha2.0041311552LSep 27 · 11:40O. Miklukha1.57111051162S. Osipov2.25512116113WSep 24 · 10:30V. Mukhin2.107611111O. Miklukha1.6711117133LSep 24 · 09:30O. Miklukha2.50118111072S. Semenets1.50911712113LSep 24 · 08:30O. Miklukha2.755113121V. Korniichuk1.4011611143LSep 24 · 07:00O. Miklukha2.38591861V. Stukalov1.53111116113
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