TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Peter Chvojka vs Petr Chlad 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711117115––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Chlad to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Petr Chlad below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Petr Chlad at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 4–2 Petr Chlad Petr Chlad has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:13What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chvojka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Chvojka
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chvojka 1400 vs Chlad 1423
Chlad
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chvojka 40% vs Chlad 100%
Chlad
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chvojka 60% vs Chlad 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chvojka -1 · Chlad +5
Chlad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlad) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlad form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 1.80 / Chlad 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chlad)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13208304
Chvojka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite54% won 44 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Chlad1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back34% 17 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChvojka4wins
AwayChlad2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderChvojka leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChvojka100%3 of 3
AwayChlad66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chvojka3Chlad3n = 6split evenly
S2Chvojka4Chlad2n = 6Chvojka took 4 of 6
S3Chvojka4Chlad2n = 6Chvojka took 4 of 6
S4Chvojka3Chlad2n = 5Chvojka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChvojkaChladChvojka − ChladBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.239.5+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaChladBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 333 vs 139 / 28446.3%48.9%154 / 333 vs 139 / 284Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChvojka 1.80/Chlad 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 28 · 07:15P. Chvojka4011711113P. Chlad32911751
WAug 12 · 07:15P. Chvojka45101311113P. Chlad401211981
LAug 6 · 08:43P. Chvojka341111571P. Chlad4413911113
LAug 6 · 07:45P. Chvojka46451411122P. Chlad571111129143
WAug 5 · 08:44P. Chvojka331111113P. Chlad143470
WAug 5 · 07:45P. Chvojka43131153113P. Chlad50118111192
P. Chvojka10
LSep 28 · 05:45O. Coufal1.8081111113P. Chvojka1.91116881WSep 27 · 08:49P. Chvojka1.201111113M. Sobota4.335460WSep 27 · 08:15P. Chvojka1.20111113113M. Sobota4.33691531LSep 27 · 06:45J. Sindler1.6181111113P. Chvojka2.20116491LSep 27 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.5751111113P. Chvojka2.25114881LSep 26 · 13:20P. Chvojka1.83119541O. Vaclahovsky1.8741111113WSep 26 · 12:10P. Chvojka1.801111912113J. Jnr1.9158111492WSep 26 · 10:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801011971P. Chvojka1.9112911113WSep 26 · 10:10A. Strelec1.835470P. Chvojka1.831111113WSep 26 · 08:45P. Chvojka2.25118119113J. Sindler1.5791161172
P. Chlad10
WSep 28 · 06:15P. Chlad1.5031112113P. Jokiel2.501121041WSep 23 · 09:13P. Chlad1.801111113I. Jemelka1.916840WSep 23 · 08:15A. Strelec2.0010690P. Chlad1.731211113WSep 23 · 07:15P. Chlad1.73711311113I. Jemelka2.0011611982WSep 23 · 05:45J. Sindler1.6111119572P. Chlad2.20871111113LSep 17 · 09:15J. Sindler1.60511136113P. Chlad2.20119111192WSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113WSep 17 · 07:10J. Matus2.25451181P. Chlad1.5711115113LSep 17 · 06:10P. Chlad2.006111061J. Sindler1.7311612113LSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123
Upcoming Matches
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P. Chlad
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