TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Peter Chvojka vs Jaroslav Sindler 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811116911117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7
94 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 2–4 Jaroslav Sindler Peter Chvojka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Chvojka beat Sindler 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 2.25 / Sindler 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sindler)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13199126
Chvojka2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Sindler1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 138 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it69% 90 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChvojka2wins
AwaySindler4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSindler leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChvojkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySindler100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chvojka2Sindler4n = 6Sindler took 4 of 6
S2Chvojka3Sindler3n = 6split evenly
S3Chvojka5Sindler1n = 6Chvojka took 5 of 6
S4Chvojka1Sindler4n = 5Sindler took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChvojkaSindlerC − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match39.539.7−0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 323 vs 425 / 81745.8%52%148 / 323 vs 425 / 817Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerChvojka 2.25/Sindler 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 26 · 06:40P. Chvojka4011711113J. Sindler33511891
LSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka51121111892J. Sindler53148911113
WAug 24 · 08:15P. Chvojka341111123J. Sindler2358100
LAug 10 · 11:15P. Chvojka391211971J. Sindler4214611113
LAug 6 · 06:15P. Chvojka341221281J. Sindler46141110113
LAug 5 · 06:15P. Chvojka3981011101J. Sindler4111126123
P. Chvojka10
LSep 26 · 08:10P. Chvojka1.53681181L. Jr2.3811115113WSep 26 · 06:40J. Sindler1.53511891P. Chvojka2.3811711113LSep 26 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.801111113P. Chvojka1.915650LSep 23 · 20:50V. Reska1.61117411113P. Chvojka2.2091111892LSep 23 · 20:15K. Zeman1.5781113113P. Chvojka2.251161161LSep 23 · 19:15P. Chvojka1.911041381F. Theodor1.80121111113LSep 23 · 17:45V. Reska1.61711611113P. Chvojka2.2011811692LSep 20 · 13:09F. Mandrysz2.1091111123P. Chvojka1.671149101LSep 20 · 11:45P. Chvojka1.5389111142F. Mandrysz2.38111116113WSep 20 · 10:45P. Chvojka1.281111113M. Sobota3.504550
J. Sindler10
WSep 26 · 07:40J. Sindler1.73881111113I. Jemelka2.0011119962LSep 26 · 06:40J. Sindler1.53511891P. Chvojka2.3811711113LSep 26 · 05:40J. Sindler1.50912511102L. Jr2.501110116123LSep 25 · 09:14M. Janik1.6791113113J. Sindler2.101191171WSep 25 · 08:15J. Sindler1.831111113I. Jemelka1.839390WSep 25 · 06:45O. Skvor1.5712115942J. Sindler2.251091111113LSep 25 · 06:15M. Janik1.61571111113J. Sindler2.2011116892LSep 23 · 08:43J. Sindler1.73111061152A. Strelec2.00512118113LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123WSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131
Upcoming Matches
P. Chvojka
J. Sindler
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