TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Ivan Jemelka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811119119116
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:56 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Ivan Jemelka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 56.6%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 8–8 Ivan Jemelka Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:56What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1439 vs Jemelka 1443
Jemelka
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 40% vs Jemelka 60%
Jemelka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 30% vs Jemelka 60%
Jemelka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -3 · Jemelka +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.73 / Jemelka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13197695
Sindler1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 138 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it69% 90 of 131
Jemelka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog60% won 30 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back35% 7 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler6wins
AwayJemelka4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler75%3 of 4
AwayJemelka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler4Jemelka6n = 10Jemelka took 6 of 10
S2Sindler6Jemelka4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Sindler7Jemelka3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S4Sindler4Jemelka4n = 8split evenly
S5Sindler2Jemelka1n = 3Sindler took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJemelkaS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.136.9+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 817 vs 68 / 13952%48.9%425 / 817 vs 68 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.73/Jemelka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 07:40J. Sindler49881111113I. Jemelka4611119962
WSep 25 · 08:15J. Sindler331111113I. Jemelka219390
LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler388119101I. Jemelka3911511123
WSep 21 · 07:40J. Sindler3911611113I. Jemelka32911571
LAug 26 · 06:10J. Sindler321011651I. Jemelka4012611113
LAug 24 · 07:15J. Sindler388101191I. Jemelka4011126113
WAug 14 · 10:45J. Sindler521011119113I. Jemelka4112561172
WAug 10 · 10:15J. Sindler4261411113I. Jemelka361112581
WJul 27 · 09:15J. Sindler331111113I. Jemelka259970
LJul 27 · 07:45J. Sindler45116101172I. Jemelka49711128113
J. Sindler10
LSep 26 · 08:45P. Chvojka2.25118119113J. Sindler1.5791161172LSep 26 · 06:40J. Sindler1.53511891P. Chvojka2.3811711113LSep 26 · 05:40J. Sindler1.50912511102L. Jr2.501110116123LSep 25 · 09:14M. Janik1.6791113113J. Sindler2.101191171WSep 25 · 08:15J. Sindler1.831111113I. Jemelka1.839390WSep 25 · 06:45O. Skvor1.5712115942J. Sindler2.251091111113LSep 25 · 06:15M. Janik1.61571111113J. Sindler2.2011116892LSep 23 · 08:43J. Sindler1.73111061152A. Strelec2.00512118113LSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123WSep 23 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7361111153A. Strelec2.001138131
I. Jemelka10
WSep 26 · 07:10L. Jr2.50711281I. Jemelka1.5011911113WSep 26 · 06:10I. Jemelka1.801111113P. Chvojka1.915650WSep 25 · 08:44I. Jemelka1.801111113O. Skvor1.917980LSep 25 · 08:15J. Sindler1.831111113I. Jemelka1.839390LSep 25 · 07:15I. Jemelka2.0015351192M. Janik1.731311118113WSep 25 · 05:45O. Skvor1.80312371I. Jemelka1.91111011113LSep 23 · 09:13P. Chlad1.801111113I. Jemelka1.916840WSep 23 · 07:45J. Sindler1.738119101I. Jemelka2.0011511123LSep 23 · 07:15P. Chlad1.73711311113I. Jemelka2.0011611982WSep 23 · 06:15I. Jemelka1.7312812113A. Strelec2.0010111091
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