TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Hainiuk vs Fedir Chashchin 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111191187111412
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:09 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeFedir Chashchin to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Fedir Chashchin @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingVolodymyr Hainiuk above · Fedir Chashchin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 99 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Fedir Chashchin at 56.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Hainiuk 9–10 Fedir Chashchin Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chashchin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hainiuk 1350 vs Chashchin 1467
Chashchin
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hainiuk 0% vs Chashchin 100%
Chashchin
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hainiuk 30% vs Chashchin 80%
Chashchin
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hainiuk -6 · Chashchin +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chashchin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chashchin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHainiuk 2.00 / Chashchin 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Chashchin)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13208099
Hainiuk2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 44 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Chashchin1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHainiuk3wins
AwayChashchin7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChashchin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHainiuk50%2 of 4
AwayChashchin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hainiuk4Chashchin6n = 10Chashchin took 6 of 10
S2Hainiuk5Chashchin5n = 10split evenly
S3Hainiuk7Chashchin3n = 10Hainiuk took 7 of 10
S4Hainiuk2Chashchin6n = 8Chashchin took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHainiukChashchinH − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.0−2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHainiukChashchinBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 667 vs 105 / 19853.7%53%358 / 667 vs 105 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChashchinHainiuk 2.00/Chashchin 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Chashchin · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Fedir Chashchin @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–2
Hainiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 17:35V. Hainiuk325121231F. Chashchin46111410113
LSep 7 · 17:35V. Hainiuk47111110692F. Chashchin46661211113
WAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk4071111113F. Chashchin28116741
WAug 11 · 13:35V. Hainiuk331111113F. Chashchin194870
LJul 13 · 14:55V. Hainiuk28661151F. Chashchin4211119113
LJul 9 · 17:35V. Hainiuk4191121182F. Chashchin491111106113
LJun 15 · 16:25V. Hainiuk3811512101F. Chashchin4471114123
WJun 8 · 14:05V. Hainiuk331111113F. Chashchin218760
LMay 26 · 17:35V. Hainiuk32961161F. Chashchin4211119113
LMay 22 · 08:55V. Hainiuk321011651F. Chashchin4312911113
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 28 · 13:35A. Lifanov1.401111113V. Hainiuk2.753660LSep 22 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.8361560I. Yelfimov1.831117113LSep 22 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.671111113V. Hainiuk2.109650LSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.75611491A. Lifanov1.4011811113LSep 22 · 14:25A. Yakovenko1.6711511113V. Hainiuk2.10811961WSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113LSep 21 · 15:35I. Yelfimov1.8311113113V. Hainiuk1.83491191WSep 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.7391111113V. Slabyshev2.00112961
F. Chashchin10
WSep 28 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.40111211652F. Chashchin2.75814611113WSep 24 · 19:05F. Chashchin1.67111011113V. Sydorenko2.10412841WSep 24 · 17:05A. Azarov3.00167111172F. Chashchin1.36181123113WSep 24 · 16:05F. Chashchin1.9171111113V. Slabyshev1.80119741WSep 24 · 15:05V. Leonov2.20841161F. Chashchin1.6111119113LSep 24 · 13:35F. Chashchin1.91116841D. Boltenkov1.8081111113WSep 15 · 18:35V. Kaganovych1.61511981F. Chashchin2.2011811113WSep 15 · 17:35F. Chashchin1.83111410113V. Hainiuk1.835121231LSep 15 · 16:35F. Chashchin3.00912118122A. Lifanov1.361110511143WSep 15 · 15:05F. Chashchin3.4081111113A. Yakovenko1.30119481
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.