TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sharpai vs Volodymyr Hainiuk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116115––––
Volodymyr Hainiuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Volodymyr Hainiuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 56.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 16–12 Volodymyr Hainiuk Volodymyr Hainiuk has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-12 in 28
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1393 vs Hainiuk 1379
Sharpai
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 20% vs Hainiuk 40%
Hainiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 40% vs Hainiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -3 · Hainiuk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sharpai)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sharpai form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.67 / Hainiuk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sharpai)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13173155
Sharpai1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 58 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it71% 45 of 63
Hainiuk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 46 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSharpai6wins
AwayHainiuk4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSharpai leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai83.3%5 of 6
AwayHainiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai6Hainiuk4n = 10Sharpai took 6 of 10
S2Sharpai7Hainiuk3n = 10Sharpai took 7 of 10
S3Sharpai5Hainiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Sharpai2Hainiuk3n = 5Hainiuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSharpaiHainiukS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.232.3+1.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiHainiukBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 532 vs 365 / 67646.4%54%247 / 532 vs 365 / 676Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.67/Hainiuk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai22611231V. Hainiuk3611311113
WSep 17 · 15:25V. Sharpai391311153V. Hainiuk33119130
LSep 14 · 13:35V. Sharpai2271140V. Hainiuk351113113
WSep 7 · 14:35V. Sharpai351112123V. Hainiuk23310100
WSep 1 · 15:25V. Sharpai4011117113V. Hainiuk33971161
LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai30311881V. Hainiuk4211911113
LAug 24 · 17:35V. Sharpai371110881V. Hainiuk4061211113
WJul 31 · 18:25V. Sharpai516111111123V. Hainiuk50111397102
WJul 21 · 14:35V. Sharpai331111113V. Hainiuk178450
WJul 20 · 14:35V. Sharpai331111113V. Hainiuk146260
V. Sharpai10
LSep 22 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.91117561A. Lifanov1.8091111113LSep 22 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.7359111162A. Yakovenko2.00111197113LSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.8056120I. Yelfimov1.911111143WSep 21 · 18:35I. Yelfimov1.911151161V. Sharpai1.8013116113LSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113WSep 21 · 16:35V. Sharpai1.731111113V. Slabyshev2.009930LSep 21 · 15:05V. Sharpai1.8395111232A. Lifanov1.831111810113WSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai1.7313311113V. Kaganovych2.001111961WSep 17 · 19:55A. Lifanov1.83791114112V. Sharpai1.831111312133LSep 17 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2011115113V. Sharpai1.61641161
V. Hainiuk10
LSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 15:25V. Hainiuk2.75611491A. Lifanov1.4011811113LSep 22 · 14:25A. Yakovenko1.6711511113V. Hainiuk2.10811961WSep 21 · 19:35V. Hainiuk2.501111611113V. Kaganovych1.5081311882WSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113LSep 21 · 15:35I. Yelfimov1.8311113113V. Hainiuk1.83491191WSep 21 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.7391111113V. Slabyshev2.00112961LSep 21 · 13:35A. Lifanov1.4411117113V. Hainiuk2.63771161LSep 17 · 20:25V. Hainiuk1.579560I. Elfemov2.251111113WSep 17 · 18:25O. Korobov1.40781141V. Hainiuk2.7511117113
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