TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jonas Kulveit vs Zdenek Zahradka 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117117911911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeJonas Kulveit to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJonas Kulveit above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jonas Kulveit at 64.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jonas Kulveit 8–6 Zdenek Zahradka Zdenek Zahradka has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kulveit
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Kulveit
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulveit 1551 vs Zahradka 1382
Kulveit
Wrong
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulveit 100% vs Zahradka 20%
Kulveit
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulveit 90% vs Zahradka 30%
Kulveit
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulveit +7 · Zahradka -2
Kulveit
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kulveit) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulveit 1.53 / Zahradka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kulveit)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13203476
Kulveit1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 19 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Zahradka2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 70 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back13% 15 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulveit5wins
AwayZahradka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulveit100%4 of 4
AwayZahradka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulveit4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Kulveit5Zahradka5n = 10split evenly
S3Kulveit6Zahradka4n = 10Kulveit took 6 of 10
S4Kulveit2Zahradka4n = 6Zahradka took 4 of 6
S5Kulveit2Zahradka1n = 3Kulveit took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulveitZahradkaK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.635.6−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulveitZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 288 vs 400 / 81449.7%49.1%143 / 288 vs 400 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulveitKulveit 1.53/Zahradka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Kulveit · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 07:55J. Kulveit4551111992Z. Zahradka47117711113
WAug 30 · 12:55J. Kulveit331111113Z. Zahradka209470
WAug 21 · 14:55J. Kulveit47128115113Z. Zahradka42101171132
WJul 12 · 12:55J. Kulveit4211119113Z. Zahradka36881191
LJun 28 · 17:25J. Kulveit2511680Z. Zahradka351311113
LJun 13 · 08:25J. Kulveit27661141Z. Zahradka3811115113
LJun 7 · 10:30J. Kulveit23171141Z. Zahradka4111118113
WJun 7 · 07:55J. Kulveit331111113Z. Zahradka248880
LMay 23 · 09:59J. Kulveit155550Z. Zahradka331111113
WMay 23 · 07:55J. Kulveit46611711113Z. Zahradka4011611392
J. Kulveit10
WSep 27 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.61311134113R. Jamrich2.20115111192WSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342WSep 19 · 10:34J. Kulveit1.80116115113A. Kral1.9091171192WSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970WSep 19 · 07:55J. Kulveit1.6714117113J. Dvorak2.101291151WSep 19 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.80117118113A. Kral1.9191191132WAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113LAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570WAug 30 · 11:25J. Kulveit2.251310116113J. Melichar1.57111231192
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 27 · 09:59A. Kral1.7356120Z. Zahradka2.001111143LSep 27 · 09:25Z. Zahradka1.838411101A. Kral1.8311118123LSep 27 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.9111811113Z. Zahradka1.80711851LSep 25 · 17:31D. Sochor3.7541111123Z. Zahradka1.251197101WSep 25 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.53111011113J. Hendrych2.38812721LSep 25 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.3813118101P. Moravec1.5315911123LSep 25 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.50131191142D. Sochor2.50156116113LSep 24 · 17:55M. Dvorak1.851211113Z. Zahradka1.8510730WSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661LAug 30 · 12:55Z. Zahradka1.919470J. Kulveit1.801111113
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