TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Zdenek Zahradka vs Adam Kral 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8114111181012––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Adam Kral at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 75–60 Adam Kral Adam Kral has won 60 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-60 in 135
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 15 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1382 vs Kral 1493
Kral
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Kral 20%
Zahradka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 40% vs Kral 60%
Kral
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +1 · Kral -4
Kral
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kral)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.83 / Kral 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kral)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13203331
Zahradka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kral1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka6wins
AwayKral4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka83.3%5 of 6
AwayKral75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka6Kral4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Zahradka3Kral7n = 10Kral took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka7Kral3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Zahradka7Kral1n = 8Zahradka took 7 of 8
S5Zahradka1Kral3n = 4Kral took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaKralZ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.439.4+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKralBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 814 vs 415 / 79449.1%52.3%400 / 814 vs 415 / 794Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KralZahradka 1.83/Kral 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 07:55Z. Zahradka43111011113A. Kral33712951
WAug 4 · 13:25Z. Zahradka4211119113A. Kral28571151
WAug 2 · 14:50Z. Zahradka4311911123A. Kral389118101
WJul 30 · 10:55Z. Zahradka541181113113A. Kral4671181552
LJul 19 · 09:59Z. Zahradka3912391142A. Kral491011116113
LJul 19 · 08:50Z. Zahradka558101115112A. Kral551112613133
LJul 17 · 15:50Z. Zahradka33914100A. Kral391116123
LJul 16 · 15:20Z. Zahradka49981111102A. Kral49111178123
WJul 13 · 10:30Z. Zahradka331111113A. Kral219570
WJul 13 · 09:25Z. Zahradka43101111113A. Kral36126991
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 27 · 09:59A. Kral1.7356120Z. Zahradka2.001111143WSep 27 · 07:55J. Kulveit1.5351111992Z. Zahradka2.38117711113LSep 27 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.9111811113Z. Zahradka1.80711851LSep 25 · 17:31D. Sochor3.7541111123Z. Zahradka1.251197101WSep 25 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.53111011113J. Hendrych2.38812721LSep 25 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.3813118101P. Moravec1.5315911123LSep 25 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.50131191142D. Sochor2.50156116113LSep 24 · 17:55M. Dvorak1.851211113Z. Zahradka1.8510730WSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661WSep 24 · 15:20Z. Zahradka3.001111113P. Moravec1.369480
A. Kral10
LSep 27 · 09:59A. Kral1.7356120Z. Zahradka2.001111143LSep 27 · 08:25A. Kral1.9191111772R. Jamrich1.80116711113LSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342LSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich2.10101111113A. Kral1.65127771LSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich2.50121189113A. Kral1.50109111192WSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861WSep 24 · 10:55L. Moravec2.6310490A. Kral1.441211113WSep 23 · 10:30A. Kral1.91261111113M. Filipek1.8011118392WSep 23 · 09:25M. Filipek1.73911861A. Kral2.0011811113WSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482
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