TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kral vs Zdenek Zahradka 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111214––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingAdam Kral above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 59 set 3, 12-14
59 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kral 61–75 Zdenek Zahradka Adam Kral has won 61 of their 136 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kral beat Zahradka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kral)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 1.73 / Zahradka 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kral)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13205760
Kral1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 51 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Zahradka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 70 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back13% 15 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKral5wins
AwayZahradka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKral100%4 of 4
AwayZahradka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kral4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S2Kral8Zahradka2n = 10Kral took 8 of 10
S3Kral3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S4Kral2Zahradka6n = 8Zahradka took 6 of 8
S5Kral3Zahradka1n = 4Kral took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKralZahradkaK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.4−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 795 vs 400 / 81552.3%49.1%416 / 795 vs 400 / 815Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KralKral 1.73/Zahradka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 09:25A. Kral4211118123Z. Zahradka338411101
LAug 29 · 07:55A. Kral33712951Z. Zahradka43111011113
LAug 4 · 13:25A. Kral28571151Z. Zahradka4211119113
LAug 2 · 14:50A. Kral389118101Z. Zahradka4311911123
LJul 30 · 10:55A. Kral4671181552Z. Zahradka541181113113
WJul 19 · 09:59A. Kral491011116113Z. Zahradka3912391142
WJul 19 · 08:50A. Kral551112613133Z. Zahradka558101115112
WJul 17 · 15:50A. Kral391116123Z. Zahradka33914100
WJul 16 · 15:20A. Kral49111178123Z. Zahradka49981111102
LJul 13 · 10:30A. Kral219570Z. Zahradka331111113
A. Kral10
WSep 27 · 09:25Z. Zahradka1.838411101A. Kral1.8311118123LSep 27 · 08:25A. Kral1.9191111772R. Jamrich1.80116711113LSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342LSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich2.10101111113A. Kral1.65127771LSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich2.50121189113A. Kral1.50109111192WSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861WSep 24 · 10:55L. Moravec2.6310490A. Kral1.441211113WSep 23 · 10:30A. Kral1.91261111113M. Filipek1.8011118392WSep 23 · 09:25M. Filipek1.73911861A. Kral2.0011811113WSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482
Z. Zahradka10
LSep 27 · 09:25Z. Zahradka1.838411101A. Kral1.8311118123WSep 27 · 07:55J. Kulveit1.5351111992Z. Zahradka2.38117711113LSep 27 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.9111811113Z. Zahradka1.80711851LSep 25 · 17:31D. Sochor3.7541111123Z. Zahradka1.251197101WSep 25 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.53111011113J. Hendrych2.38812721LSep 25 · 15:20Z. Zahradka2.3813118101P. Moravec1.5315911123LSep 25 · 14:20Z. Zahradka1.50131191142D. Sochor2.50156116113LSep 24 · 17:55M. Dvorak1.851211113Z. Zahradka1.8510730WSep 24 · 16:20Z. Zahradka1.67101111113J. Hendrych2.10126661WSep 24 · 15:20Z. Zahradka3.001111113P. Moravec1.369480
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