TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kral vs Robert Jamrich 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911116117711711
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kral above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Kral at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kral 6–5 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 20:16What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jamrich
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kral 1505 vs Jamrich 1446
Kral
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kral 40% vs Jamrich 80%
Jamrich
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kral 70% vs Jamrich 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kral -3 · Jamrich +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kral)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 1.91 / Jamrich 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kral)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13203108
Kral1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 89 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back27% 27 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 51
Jamrich1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 8 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKral5wins
AwayJamrich5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKral66.7%4 of 6
AwayJamrich75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kral6Jamrich4n = 10Kral took 6 of 10
S2Kral5Jamrich5n = 10split evenly
S3Kral4Jamrich6n = 10Jamrich took 6 of 10
S4Kral5Jamrich4n = 9Kral took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKralJamrichK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.1+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 793 vs 133 / 29552.3%45.1%415 / 793 vs 133 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KralKral 1.91/Jamrich 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jamrich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 14:45A. Kral33127771R. Jamrich43101111113
LSep 24 · 13:25A. Kral50109111192R. Jamrich51121189113
WSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral50911811113R. Jamrich4111711482
WSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral4111711123R. Jamrich399119101
WSep 1 · 14:50A. Kral331111113R. Jamrich198650
WAug 5 · 09:59A. Kral4111117123R. Jamrich399911101
LAug 5 · 08:55A. Kral391312861R. Jamrich47111411113
LJan 18 · 19:20A. Kral347111061R. Jamrich4311912113
LSep 25 · 09:35A. Kral31611681R. Jamrich4011711113
WSep 25 · 07:50A. Kral4111811113R. Jamrich29611931
A. Kral10
WSep 27 · 09:25Z. Zahradka1.838411101A. Kral1.8311118123LSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342LSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich2.10101111113A. Kral1.65127771LSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich2.50121189113A. Kral1.50109111192WSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861WSep 24 · 10:55L. Moravec2.6310490A. Kral1.441211113WSep 23 · 10:30A. Kral1.91261111113M. Filipek1.8011118392WSep 23 · 09:25M. Filipek1.73911861A. Kral2.0011811113WSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482WSep 23 · 06:55F. Balcar2.208118101A. Kral1.6111811123
R. Jamrich10
LSep 27 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.61311134113R. Jamrich2.20115111192WSep 27 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.9111811113Z. Zahradka1.80711851WSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich2.10101111113A. Kral1.65127771WSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich2.50121189113A. Kral1.50109111192LSep 24 · 11:55L. Moravec1.5311911113R. Jamrich2.38411851WSep 24 · 11:25F. Marat1.83117381R. Jamrich1.8391111113LSep 23 · 09:58R. Jamrich2.009121112122F. Balcar1.731110914143WSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482LSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich1.8369111192M. Filipek1.83111167113
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