TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Spartak Abalmaz vs Serhii Skachenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
71111712101210––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Skachenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSpartak Abalmaz above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 80 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Serhii Skachenko at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Spartak Abalmaz 9–14 Serhii Skachenko Spartak Abalmaz has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skachenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Skachenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Abalmaz 1529 vs Skachenko 1601
Skachenko
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Abalmaz 20% vs Skachenko 40%
Skachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Abalmaz 40% vs Skachenko 60%
Skachenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Abalmaz -1 · Skachenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skachenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAbalmaz 1.83 / Skachenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skachenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13202880
Abalmaz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Skachenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAbalmaz4wins
AwaySkachenko6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSkachenko leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAbalmaz33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkachenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Abalmaz3Skachenko7n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S2Abalmaz6Skachenko4n = 10Abalmaz took 6 of 10
S3Abalmaz3Skachenko7n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S4Abalmaz5Skachenko2n = 7Abalmaz took 5 of 7
S5Abalmaz3Skachenko4n = 7Skachenko took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAbalmazSkachenkoA − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.343.6−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAbalmazSkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 826 vs 136 / 32350.2%42.1%415 / 826 vs 136 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkachenkoAbalmaz 1.83/Skachenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skachenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Abalmaz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 21:05S. Abalmaz4511591282S. Skachenko529111110113
LSep 22 · 04:25S. Abalmaz259790S. Skachenko331111113
WSep 15 · 23:35S. Abalmaz538111112113S. Skachenko4911891472
LSep 15 · 04:25S. Abalmaz51111161492S. Skachenko551381112113
WSep 8 · 18:25S. Abalmaz331111113S. Skachenko248790
LSep 8 · 02:55S. Abalmaz491011711102S. Skachenko45126114123
WSep 1 · 23:25S. Abalmaz491011116113S. Skachenko4612951192
LAug 28 · 17:05S. Abalmaz28106120S. Skachenko371211143
WAug 28 · 04:25S. Abalmaz44611511113S. Skachenko4611711892
LAug 19 · 03:35S. Abalmaz4612871182S. Skachenko491011116113
S. Abalmaz10
LSep 27 · 22:25O. Naida2.63811811123S. Abalmaz1.44119119102WSep 25 · 04:25O. Naida2.631011117122S. Abalmaz1.44126411143LSep 25 · 02:55S. Abalmaz2.003490V. Panasenko1.731111113LSep 25 · 00:55R. Gnoevoy2.1071111133S. Abalmaz1.671194111LSep 24 · 22:55V. Khamurda2.2081111113S. Abalmaz1.61119831WSep 24 · 21:55T. Ponomarenko2.501361481S. Abalmaz1.50111116113WSep 23 · 03:35O. Naida2.50771161S. Abalmaz1.5011119113LSep 23 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.1081111113S. Abalmaz1.67118981WSep 23 · 01:05V. Khamurda2.251111751S. Abalmaz1.5713511113LSep 22 · 23:05T. Ponomarenko2.7511125113S. Abalmaz1.404101191
S. Skachenko10
WSep 27 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy1.8011513792S. Skachenko1.919111111113LSep 23 · 03:05S. Skachenko1.67127791V. Khamurda2.10101111113LSep 23 · 01:35S. Skachenko1.57912761O. Naida2.25111011113WSep 23 · 00:05S. Skachenko1.611111113T. Ponomarenko2.208340LSep 22 · 22:35S. Skachenko1.9191214101R. Gnoevoy1.80111412123WSep 22 · 21:05S. Skachenko1.809111110113S. Abalmaz1.9111591282WSep 22 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.919790WSep 22 · 02:25V. Khamurda2.001210561S. Skachenko1.73101211113LSep 22 · 00:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.61111199153T. Ponomarenko2.20361111132
Upcoming Matches
S. Abalmaz
Sep 28 · 00:25S. Abalmaz1.67R. Gnoevoy2.10—Sep 28 · 02:25S. Abalmaz1.61V. Khamurda2.20—Sep 28 · 04:25S. Abalmaz1.83D. Derevynskyi1.83—Sep 28 · 21:25S. Abalmaz2.20V. Panasenko1.61—Sep 28 · 22:55S. Abalmaz1.83S. Skachenko1.83—Sep 29 · 00:25S. Abalmaz1.44O. Naida2.63—Sep 29 · 01:55S. Abalmaz1.67R. Gnoevoy2.10—Sep 29 · 03:25S. Abalmaz1.61V. Khamurda2.20—
S. Skachenko
Sep 28 · 01:25S. Skachenko1.80V. Khamurda1.91—Sep 28 · 02:55S. Skachenko2.00D. Derevynskyi1.73—Sep 28 · 03:55S. Skachenko1.61O. Naida2.20—Sep 28 · 21:55S. Skachenko1.80V. Khamurda1.91—Sep 28 · 22:55S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 29 · 00:55S. Skachenko1.83R. Gnoevoy1.83—Sep 29 · 02:55S. Skachenko2.50V. Panasenko1.50—Sep 29 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.61O. Naida2.20—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.