TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Gnoevoy vs Spartak Abalmaz 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Roman Gnoevoy
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118119118––
Spartak Abalmaz
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:39 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeSpartak Abalmaz to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Gnoevoy above · Spartak Abalmaz below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Spartak Abalmaz at 59.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Roman Gnoevoy 47–59 Spartak Abalmaz Roman Gnoevoy has won 47 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:39What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Abalmaz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-59 in 106
Abalmaz
Wrong
gap of 12 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gnoevoy 1534 vs Abalmaz 1560
Abalmaz
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gnoevoy 60% vs Abalmaz 40%
Gnoevoy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gnoevoy 60% vs Abalmaz 40%
Gnoevoy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gnoevoy -1 · Abalmaz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Abalmaz) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abalmaz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGnoevoy 2.10 / Abalmaz 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Abalmaz)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13173369
Gnoevoy2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 87 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back25% 23 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 57
Abalmaz1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it77% 115 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGnoevoy2wins
AwayAbalmaz8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAbalmaz leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGnoevoy33.3%2 of 6
AwayAbalmaz100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gnoevoy6Abalmaz4n = 10Gnoevoy took 6 of 10
S2Gnoevoy1Abalmaz9n = 10Abalmaz took 9 of 10
S3Gnoevoy1Abalmaz9n = 10Abalmaz took 9 of 10
S4Gnoevoy4Abalmaz2n = 6Gnoevoy took 4 of 6
S5Gnoevoy1Abalmaz3n = 4Abalmaz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGnoevoyAbalmazG − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.739.7−5.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGnoevoyAbalmazBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 818 vs 421 / 83349.9%50.5%408 / 818 vs 421 / 833Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbalmazGnoevoy 2.10/Abalmaz 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Abalmaz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gnoevoy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy2491050S. Abalmaz341112113
LSep 17 · 21:25R. Gnoevoy50119121172S. Abalmaz50911145113
LSep 16 · 24:35R. Gnoevoy268990S. Abalmaz331111113
WSep 15 · 02:55R. Gnoevoy4211911113S. Abalmaz34711881
LSep 11 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy199460S. Abalmaz331111113
LSep 8 · 20:25R. Gnoevoy30117751S. Abalmaz4071111113
LSep 7 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy4311591172S. Abalmaz47911115113
LSep 4 · 02:25R. Gnoevoy50121191172S. Abalmaz501051113113
LSep 1 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy185670S. Abalmaz331111113
WAug 31 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy45117511113S. Abalmaz4371111772
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 23 · 24:35O. Naida2.00711119123R. Gnoevoy1.73118611102WSep 22 · 22:35S. Skachenko1.9191214101R. Gnoevoy1.80111412123LSep 22 · 21:35V. Khamurda1.67111210113R. Gnoevoy2.109101271WSep 22 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy1.611111113T. Ponomarenko2.209870WSep 22 · 01:55O. Naida2.10131310872R. Gnoevoy1.6711111211113LSep 22 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy2.1091050S. Abalmaz1.671112113WSep 21 · 23:55V. Khamurda1.6711126682R. Gnoevoy2.109101111113WSep 21 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.911111113S. Skachenko1.807390WSep 18 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy2.20114811113V. Khamurda1.6161111792LSep 18 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.57741141K. Hrynenko2.2511115113
S. Abalmaz10
WSep 23 · 03:35O. Naida2.50771161S. Abalmaz1.5011119113WSep 23 · 01:05V. Khamurda2.251111751S. Abalmaz1.5713511113LSep 22 · 23:05T. Ponomarenko2.7511125113S. Abalmaz1.404101191LSep 22 · 21:05S. Skachenko1.809111110113S. Abalmaz1.9111591282LSep 22 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.919790WSep 22 · 02:55S. Abalmaz1.501113113T. Ponomarenko2.5051140WSep 22 · 24:55R. Gnoevoy2.1091050S. Abalmaz1.671112113LSep 21 · 22:55O. Naida2.6311411113S. Abalmaz1.44511621LSep 21 · 21:55V. Khamurda2.251211113S. Abalmaz1.5710200WSep 18 · 03:55K. Hrynenko2.0078100S. Abalmaz1.731111123
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