TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Gnoevoy vs Serhii Skachenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1195111311711911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Gnoevoy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Gnoevoy above · Serhii Skachenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Roman Gnoevoy at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Roman Gnoevoy 10–8 Serhii Skachenko Serhii Skachenko has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:11What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Gnoevoy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Gnoevoy
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gnoevoy 1606 vs Skachenko 1589
Gnoevoy
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gnoevoy 100% vs Skachenko 40%
Gnoevoy
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gnoevoy 80% vs Skachenko 50%
Gnoevoy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gnoevoy +7 · Skachenko -2
Gnoevoy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gnoevoy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGnoevoy 1.80 / Skachenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gnoevoy)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13205928
Gnoevoy1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it75% 49 of 65
Skachenko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 23)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 62 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back16% 16 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGnoevoy6wins
AwaySkachenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGnoevoy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGnoevoy100%3 of 3
AwaySkachenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gnoevoy3Skachenko7n = 10Skachenko took 7 of 10
S2Gnoevoy7Skachenko3n = 10Gnoevoy took 7 of 10
S3Gnoevoy7Skachenko3n = 10Gnoevoy took 7 of 10
S4Gnoevoy4Skachenko5n = 9Skachenko took 5 of 9
S5Gnoevoy2Skachenko1n = 3Gnoevoy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGnoevoySkachenkoG − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.139.4+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGnoevoySkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 813 vs 135 / 32250.2%41.9%408 / 813 vs 135 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GnoevoyGnoevoy 1.80/Skachenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gnoevoy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skachenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 22:35R. Gnoevoy49111412123S. Skachenko4591214101
WSep 21 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy331111113S. Skachenko197390
LSep 15 · 21:35R. Gnoevoy28613271S. Skachenko44111111113
WSep 14 · 23:25R. Gnoevoy47511811123S. Skachenko47119116102
LSep 8 · 13:55R. Gnoevoy358611101S. Skachenko3911115123
WSep 8 · 04:25R. Gnoevoy511111117113S. Skachenko4413381192
WSep 2 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy4311813113S. Skachenko344111181
LAug 28 · 14:05R. Gnoevoy4451111982S. Skachenko48117811113
LAug 27 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy314101161S. Skachenko4011126113
WAug 11 · 14:55R. Gnoevoy4071111113S. Skachenko34117971
R. Gnoevoy10
LSep 27 · 22:55R. Gnoevoy1.83211581D. Derevynskyi1.8311811113WSep 25 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy2.631111101133V. Panasenko1.44981211112WSep 25 · 01:55V. Khamurda1.73158991R. Gnoevoy2.00131111113WSep 25 · 00:55R. Gnoevoy2.1071111133S. Abalmaz1.671194111WSep 24 · 23:55T. Ponomarenko2.751176121R. Gnoevoy1.4071111143WSep 24 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.67681111113O. Naida2.1011117992WSep 23 · 04:05T. Ponomarenko2.386380R. Gnoevoy1.531111113WSep 23 · 02:35R. Gnoevoy2.1081111113S. Abalmaz1.67118981LSep 23 · 00:35O. Naida2.00711119123R. Gnoevoy1.73118611102WSep 22 · 22:35S. Skachenko1.9191214101R. Gnoevoy1.80111412123
S. Skachenko10
LSep 23 · 03:05S. Skachenko1.67127791V. Khamurda2.10101111113LSep 23 · 01:35S. Skachenko1.57912761O. Naida2.25111011113WSep 23 · 00:05S. Skachenko1.611111113T. Ponomarenko2.208340LSep 22 · 22:35S. Skachenko1.9191214101R. Gnoevoy1.80111412123WSep 22 · 21:05S. Skachenko1.809111110113S. Abalmaz1.9111591282WSep 22 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.801111113S. Abalmaz1.919790WSep 22 · 02:25V. Khamurda2.001210561S. Skachenko1.73101211113LSep 22 · 00:25O. Naida2.631113113S. Skachenko1.4451170WSep 21 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.61111199153T. Ponomarenko2.20361111132LSep 21 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.911111113S. Skachenko1.807390
Upcoming Matches
R. Gnoevoy
Sep 28 · 00:25R. Gnoevoy2.10S. Abalmaz1.67—Sep 28 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy1.73O. Naida2.00—Sep 28 · 03:25R. Gnoevoy2.20V. Khamurda1.61—Sep 28 · 22:25R. Gnoevoy1.73O. Naida2.00—Sep 28 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy2.20V. Khamurda1.61—Sep 29 · 00:55R. Gnoevoy1.80S. Skachenko1.91—Sep 29 · 01:55R. Gnoevoy2.10S. Abalmaz1.67—Sep 29 · 03:55R. Gnoevoy2.50V. Panasenko1.50—
S. Skachenko
Sep 27 · 23:25S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 28 · 01:25S. Skachenko1.80V. Khamurda1.91—Sep 28 · 02:55S. Skachenko2.00D. Derevynskyi1.73—Sep 28 · 03:55S. Skachenko1.61O. Naida2.20—Sep 28 · 21:55S. Skachenko1.80V. Khamurda1.91—Sep 28 · 22:55S. Skachenko1.83S. Abalmaz1.83—Sep 29 · 00:55S. Skachenko1.91R. Gnoevoy1.80—Sep 29 · 02:55S. Skachenko2.50V. Panasenko1.50—Sep 29 · 04:25S. Skachenko1.61O. Naida2.20—
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