TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sopko vs Michal Vondrak 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
2018119811115––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:07 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sopko to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sopko above · Michal Vondrak below
Set 1 · 20-18
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 93 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Martin Sopko at 63.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sopko 14–7 Michal Vondrak Michal Vondrak has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sopko beat Vondrak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sopko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Sopko
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sopko 1689 vs Vondrak 1631
Sopko
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sopko 80% vs Vondrak 40%
Sopko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sopko 60% vs Vondrak 40%
Sopko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sopko +4 · Vondrak +1
Sopko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sopko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sopko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSopko 1.57 / Vondrak 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sopko)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199216
Sopko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 37 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Vondrak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 66 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back31% 22 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSopko7wins
AwayVondrak3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSopko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSopko100%4 of 4
AwayVondrak50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sopko4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S2Sopko4Vondrak6n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S3Sopko6Vondrak4n = 10Sopko took 6 of 10
S4Sopko5Vondrak0n = 5Sopko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSopkoVondrakS − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.532.8+2.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSopkoVondrakBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 346 vs 317 / 64647.4%49.1%164 / 346 vs 317 / 646Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SopkoSopko 1.57/Vondrak 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Sopko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sopko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 07:30M. Sopko331111113M. Vondrak227960
WJul 18 · 18:30M. Sopko4011117113M. Vondrak29571161
LJul 18 · 14:00M. Sopko2041150M. Vondrak351113113
LJun 21 · 18:30M. Sopko2664160M. Vondrak401111183
WJun 21 · 17:00M. Sopko3741111113M. Vondrak25113471
LJun 21 · 14:00M. Sopko238780M. Vondrak331111113
WJun 7 · 21:00M. Sopko341111123M. Vondrak2248100
WJun 7 · 20:30M. Sopko45661111113M. Vondrak3511113732
WJun 7 · 17:30M. Sopko4317411113M. Vondrak351511451
WJun 7 · 15:30M. Sopko547111111143M. Vondrak52111397122
M. Sopko10
WSep 26 · 08:30J. Louda1.807630M. Sopko1.911111113WSep 26 · 07:30M. Sopko1.731111113M. Vondrak2.007960WSep 26 · 06:30J. Zuzanek2.637680M. Sopko1.441111113WSep 16 · 03:00M. Sopko2.0011911143M. Sobisek1.738119121LSep 16 · 02:30M. Sychra1.61111176113M. Sopko2.2068111192WSep 16 · 01:00M. Sobisek1.7312811692M. Sopko2.001011211113WSep 15 · 23:30M. Sopko1.2891111113M. Chlebecek3.50116791LSep 15 · 22:00M. Sopko2.389111161M. Regner1.5311138113LSep 12 · 03:30S. Kadavy1.7311119113M. Sopko2.00491171LSep 12 · 02:30M. Sopko1.8311711952S. Kadavy1.83511611113
M. Vondrak10
WSep 26 · 08:00M. Vondrak1.67111110143J. Zuzanek2.108912121LSep 26 · 07:30M. Sopko1.731111113M. Vondrak2.007960WSep 26 · 06:00M. Vondrak2.5011135113J. Louda1.506111191LSep 25 · 12:58M. Sychra1.917121111113M. Vondrak1.8011148792LSep 25 · 12:00J. Zuzanek2.2012119173M. Vondrak1.6110811151LSep 25 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.801211113M. Vondrak1.9110560LSep 25 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.80117991M. Sychra1.9171111113WSep 25 · 09:29J. Tazler2.6351171192M. Vondrak1.44119116113LSep 25 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2511911113M. Vondrak1.57911761WSep 25 · 07:00M. Sychra1.83111231192M. Vondrak1.83614119113
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