TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Vondrak vs Jiri Zuzanek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11811910121412––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Vondrak to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Vondrak above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 87 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Michal Vondrak at 58.4%
87 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vondrak 59–45 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 45 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vondrak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-45 in 104
Vondrak
Correct
gap of 14 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vondrak 1619 vs Zuzanek 1620
Zuzanek
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vondrak 20% vs Zuzanek 40%
Zuzanek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vondrak 40% vs Zuzanek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vondrak -1 · Zuzanek -3
Zuzanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vondrak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vondrak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVondrak 1.67 / Zuzanek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vondrak)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13193786
Vondrak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 64 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it73% 40 of 55
Zuzanek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 114 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back31% 34 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVondrak7wins
AwayZuzanek3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVondrak leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVondrak75%6 of 8
AwayZuzanekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vondrak8Zuzanek2n = 10Vondrak took 8 of 10
S2Vondrak4Zuzanek6n = 10Zuzanek took 6 of 10
S3Vondrak6Zuzanek4n = 10Vondrak took 6 of 10
S4Vondrak4Zuzanek5n = 9Zuzanek took 5 of 9
S5Vondrak4Zuzanek2n = 6Vondrak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVondrakZuzanekV − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.338.7+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVondrakZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 645 vs 543 / 108649%50%316 / 645 vs 543 / 1086Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VondrakVondrak 1.67/Zuzanek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Vondrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vondrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 12:00M. Vondrak4410811151J. Zuzanek4912119173
WSep 19 · 07:00M. Vondrak461131110113J. Zuzanek4481161272
WSep 16 · 11:30M. Vondrak331111113J. Zuzanek102350
LSep 1 · 11:00M. Vondrak4312911562J. Zuzanek481011511113
WAug 19 · 06:30M. Vondrak47117711113J. Zuzanek3941111852
WAug 16 · 17:30M. Vondrak4013115113J. Zuzanek371181171
WAug 16 · 15:00M. Vondrak44117411113J. Zuzanek3951111572
WAug 1 · 17:28M. Vondrak4211119113J. Zuzanek35971181
LAug 1 · 14:00M. Vondrak4511711792J. Zuzanek45511711113
WJul 15 · 12:00M. Vondrak49711128113J. Zuzanek41114101152
M. Vondrak10
LSep 26 · 07:30M. Sopko1.731111113M. Vondrak2.007960WSep 26 · 06:00M. Vondrak2.5011135113J. Louda1.506111191LSep 25 · 12:58M. Sychra1.917121111113M. Vondrak1.8011148792LSep 25 · 12:00J. Zuzanek2.2012119173M. Vondrak1.6110811151LSep 25 · 11:00V. Vejvoda1.801211113M. Vondrak1.9110560LSep 25 · 10:30M. Vondrak1.80117991M. Sychra1.9171111113WSep 25 · 09:29J. Tazler2.6351171192M. Vondrak1.44119116113LSep 25 · 08:00J. Tazler2.2511911113M. Vondrak1.57911761WSep 25 · 07:00M. Sychra1.83111231192M. Vondrak1.83614119113WSep 25 · 06:30M. Vondrak2.2511127133S. Kasnik1.5761011111
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 26 · 07:00J. Louda1.5711131110113J. Zuzanek2.2541561272LSep 26 · 06:30J. Zuzanek2.637680M. Sopko1.441111113LSep 25 · 13:30V. Vejvoda1.9351111113J. Zuzanek1.77118851WSep 25 · 12:00J. Zuzanek2.2012119173M. Vondrak1.6110811151WSep 25 · 11:30M. Sychra1.83641211102J. Zuzanek1.831111108123LSep 25 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.67101280V. Vejvoda2.101214113LSep 24 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.82911751M. Regner1.8811711113WSep 24 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.67111411113V. Vejvoda2.10616871WSep 24 · 11:30M. Klement1.53681191J. Zuzanek2.3811115113LSep 24 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.8061111592M. Regner1.91117811113
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