TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alfred Rinka vs Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Alfred Rinka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5115111113––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Snr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlfred Rinka above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 56 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Alfred Rinka 0–1 Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr Alfred Rinka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 09:10What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Snr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rinka 1643 vs Snr 1595
Rinka
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rinka 100% vs Snr 20%
Rinka
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rinka 80% vs Snr 50%
Rinka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rinka +6 · Snr +1
Rinka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRinka 2.10 / Snr 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Snr)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13188302
Rinka2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Snr1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it76% 16 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRinka0wins
AwaySnr1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSnr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRinkaSnrR − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRinkaSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 80 vs 124 / 24652.5%50.4%42 / 80 vs 124 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RinkaRinka 2.10/Snr 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 24 · 08:00A. Rinka4311912922J. Snr485111011113
A. Rinka10
LSep 24 · 08:00A. Rinka2.1011912922J. Snr1.675111011113WSep 24 · 07:30D. Oborny2.25811371A. Rinka1.5711811113WSep 24 · 06:00A. Rinka2.1061111113J. Mikula1.67117651WSep 22 · 09:30A. Rinka1.851113113P. Danko1.8591180WSep 22 · 08:30A. Rinka1.501211113D. Machander2.5010940WSep 22 · 07:00A. Rinka2.00116811113P. Danko1.7391111852WSep 22 · 06:00S. Byrtus1.73117531A. Rinka2.0051111113LSep 20 · 09:30M. Heczko1.521111113A. Rinka2.359760WSep 20 · 08:00A. Rinka1.61913119113D. Oborny2.20111161132WSep 20 · 07:30D. Machander2.2010139101A. Rinka1.61121111123
J. Snr10
WSep 24 · 08:00A. Rinka2.1011912922J. Snr1.675111011113WSep 24 · 07:00J. Mikula2.256570J. Snr1.571111113LSep 24 · 06:30J. Snr1.6111491162D. Oborny2.20711115113LSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151WSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880WSep 5 · 09:29D. Heczko1.57139281J. Snr2.25111111113WSep 5 · 08:30A. Walek2.38118591J. Snr1.5391111113WSep 5 · 07:30J. Snr1.83811115113L. Martinak1.8311941162
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