TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmitro Kuzmenko vs Oleh Kurylenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111197111210611
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Kuzmenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Kuzmenko 69–97 Oleh Kurylenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 69 of their 166 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurylenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-97 in 166
Kurylenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 166, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1476 vs Kurylenko 1526
Kurylenko
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Kurylenko 80%
Kurylenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Kurylenko 70%
Kurylenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -1 · Kurylenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.91 / Kurylenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kurylenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13185258
Kuzmenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 105 of 303
Down 0–1, comes back16% 28 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 103
Kurylenko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 157 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it90% 73 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it80% 109 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko6wins
AwayKurylenko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%5 of 5
AwayKurylenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuzmenko4Kurylenko6n = 10Kurylenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko3Kurylenko2n = 5Kuzmenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoKuzmenko − KurylenkoBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.333.9−1.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 937 vs 493 / 99641.8%49.5%392 / 937 vs 493 / 996Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKuzmenko 1.91/Kurylenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko48116812113O. Kurylenko47911111062
LSep 21 · 11:30D. Kuzmenko238780O. Kurylenko331111113
WSep 18 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko341111123O. Kurylenko2578100
WSep 16 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko4211911113O. Kurylenko26511551
LSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko30711571O. Kurylenko3911611113
WSep 11 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko351311113O. Kurylenko2511770
LSep 7 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko185670O. Kurylenko331111113
WSep 3 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko42511113123O. Kurylenko48119711102
LSep 2 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko142930O. Kurylenko331111113
WAug 27 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko3711114113O. Kurylenko30391171
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 24 · 05:00D. Kuzmenko1.4469111152S. Miroshnychenko2.63111185113WSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113LSep 22 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.4411112101S. Miroshnychenko2.6313911123LSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111WSep 22 · 06:00O. Lyman2.753111111102D. Kuzmenko1.40119139123WSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113LSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780LSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6785111162D. Kuzmenko2.10111184113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 24 · 05:30O. Kurylenko2.101111119113O. Syksa1.6784131172LSep 22 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83911111062D. Kuzmenko1.83116812113WSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 07:30O. Lyman2.004560O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 22 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.4481311113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111171LSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.801111113D. Kuzmenko1.918780WSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113WSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113LSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113
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