TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Bruno Mrowetz vs Kamil Kleprlik 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11712101311––––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 64 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Bruno Mrowetz 5–5 Kamil Kleprlik Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1672 vs Kleprlik 1592
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 60% vs Kleprlik 80%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 70% vs Kleprlik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz -1 · Kleprlik +3
Kleprlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.61 / Kleprlik 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Mrowetz)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13184854
Mrowetz1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 71 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Kleprlik2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 69 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrowetz5wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrowetz75%3 of 4
AwayKleprlik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrowetz4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S2Mrowetz6Kleprlik4n = 10Mrowetz took 6 of 10
S3Mrowetz4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S4Mrowetz1Kleprlik4n = 5Kleprlik took 4 of 5
S5Mrowetz3Kleprlik1n = 4Mrowetz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrowetzKleprlikM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.538.6−2.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 506 vs 255 / 51950.6%49.1%256 / 506 vs 255 / 519Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.61/Kleprlik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 14:15B. Mrowetz511111711113K. Kleprlik4813911782
WSep 17 · 15:15B. Mrowetz48119116113K. Kleprlik4671181192
LAug 22 · 12:44B. Mrowetz30812641K. Kleprlik43111011113
WAug 22 · 10:45B. Mrowetz361114113K. Kleprlik2761290
WJun 28 · 12:40B. Mrowetz48611119113K. Kleprlik4311971152
LJun 28 · 10:10B. Mrowetz218580K. Kleprlik331111113
LJun 15 · 16:40B. Mrowetz4211119742K. Kleprlik46671111113
LJun 15 · 13:40B. Mrowetz32138110K. Kleprlik391511133
WApr 26 · 06:15B. Mrowetz371115113K. Kleprlik2641390
LDec 4 · 13:15B. Mrowetz2041150K. Kleprlik351113113
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 23 · 15:45D. Jr2.25571316143B. Mrowetz1.5711111114122WSep 23 · 15:15A. Kanak2.751371211142B. Mrowetz1.401111148163WSep 23 · 14:15B. Mrowetz1.611111711113K. Kleprlik2.2013911782WSep 23 · 13:08J. Krupnik1.7371160B. Mrowetz2.001113113LSep 23 · 12:15J. Krupnik1.911111113B. Mrowetz1.805850WSep 23 · 11:15B. Mrowetz1.911111113J. Skvrna1.807970WSep 23 · 09:45L. Slavik2.0071090B. Mrowetz1.731112113WSep 21 · 17:08J. Krupnik1.83351181B. Mrowetz1.8311118113WSep 21 · 16:15B. Mrowetz1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310450WSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113
K. Kleprlik10
WSep 23 · 16:15K. Kleprlik1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310680WSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 14:15B. Mrowetz1.611111711113K. Kleprlik2.2013911782WSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782LSep 19 · 09:45K. Kleprlik2.0091171392R. Benes1.731181111113WSep 18 · 20:45D. Jr2.208580K. Kleprlik1.611111113WSep 18 · 19:40J. Travnicek2.10711110K. Kleprlik1.671113133LSep 18 · 19:10D. Jr2.631011811113K. Kleprlik1.4412511592
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