TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Adam Staniczek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1175117111513411
Adam Staniczek
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Adam Staniczek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 75.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 85–15 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 15 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Lewczuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-15 in 100
Lewczuk
Wrong
gap of 70 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1368 vs Staniczek 1201
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Staniczek 20%
Lewczuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 40% vs Staniczek 20%
Lewczuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +2 · Staniczek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.33 / Staniczek 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Lewczuk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13182387
Lewczuk1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 164 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it82% 127 of 155
Staniczek3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog25% won 116 of 466
Down 0–1, comes back11% 33 of 301
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk7wins
AwayStaniczek3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%7 of 7
AwayStaniczek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk7Staniczek3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S2Lewczuk6Staniczek4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S3Lewczuk7Staniczek3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Lewczuk4Staniczek1n = 5Lewczuk took 4 of 5
S5Lewczuk1Staniczek2n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukStaniczekL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.6+6.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 939 vs 366 / 100651.3%36.4%482 / 939 vs 366 / 1006Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.333.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.33/Staniczek 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 01:25M. Lewczuk331111113A. Staniczek145540
WSep 10 · 19:20M. Lewczuk43111011113A. Staniczek31612851
WAug 28 · 01:30M. Lewczuk5311101011113A. Staniczek4691212942
LAug 27 · 19:30M. Lewczuk29118100A. Staniczek361311123
LAug 20 · 24:35M. Lewczuk4049111152A. Staniczek48111169113
LAug 19 · 18:30M. Lewczuk4681111972A. Staniczek45118411113
WAug 14 · 04:20M. Lewczuk3611113113A. Staniczek33981151
WAug 13 · 18:45M. Lewczuk331111113A. Staniczek146440
WAug 7 · 02:10M. Lewczuk391113153A. Staniczek32811130
WAug 6 · 23:05M. Lewczuk371111153A. Staniczek2795130
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 23 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.671111113K. Delikatny2.107950WSep 23 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.10111188113Z. Nocun1.6799111192LSep 22 · 01:10K. Kwiatkowski1.671112113M. Lewczuk2.1051040LSep 22 · 24:30M. Baran2.0011711113M. Lewczuk1.73911981WSep 21 · 23:50M. Lewczuk1.4431112113M. Karpiuk2.631161041LSep 21 · 22:30M. Lewczuk2.10111011582J. Zelezik1.67612711113LSep 21 · 21:45A. Zmijewski1.611111113M. Lewczuk2.209780LSep 21 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.40119111092M. Karpiuk2.75511812113WSep 21 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.7312311113M. Baran2.001011651LSep 21 · 17:45M. Lewczuk2.10111661A. Zmijewski1.6711911113
A. Staniczek10
LSep 23 · 16:55A. Staniczek3.00121340A. Kubiak1.361415113LSep 23 · 15:50A. Staniczek2.20109100A. Skupinski1.611211123WSep 22 · 02:45M. Machelski1.903890A. Staniczek1.801111113LSep 22 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.75111180A. Kubiak1.401313113LSep 22 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2611914113A. Staniczek3.504111261LSep 21 · 23:10J. Michalik1.5411119123A. Staniczek2.254411101LSep 21 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.42111111113A. Staniczek2.60771321LSep 21 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.271111113A. Staniczek3.306540LSep 21 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.8051311842A. Kubiak1.391111411113WSep 21 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.251110771A. Staniczek1.5471211113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Sep 23 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.44A. Skupinski2.63—Sep 23 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.80A. Kubiak1.91—Sep 23 · 21:45M. Lewczuk1.30A. Staniczek3.40—Sep 23 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10Z. Nocun1.67—Sep 24 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.80A. Kubiak1.91—Sep 24 · 01:00M. Lewczuk1.67J. Skorupa2.10—Sep 24 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.40K. Delikatny2.75—Sep 24 · 17:30M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 24 · 19:10M. Lewczuk—D. Molenda——Sep 24 · 19:55M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——
A. Staniczek
Sep 23 · 18:30A. Staniczek1.73K. Delikatny2.00—Sep 23 · 20:05A. Staniczek3.25Z. Nocun1.33—Sep 23 · 21:45A. Staniczek3.40M. Lewczuk1.30—Sep 23 · 22:55A. Staniczek3.40A. Kubiak1.30—Sep 23 · 23:45A. Staniczek2.75J. Skorupa1.40—Sep 24 · 24:35A. Staniczek1.80K. Delikatny1.91—Sep 24 · 02:10A. Staniczek3.25Z. Nocun1.33—Sep 24 · 18:20A. Staniczek—D. Molenda——Sep 24 · 19:30A. Staniczek—G. Mucha——Sep 24 · 20:20A. Staniczek—M. Baran——
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