TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Skotniczny vs Mariusz Baron 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911117117––
Mariusz Baron
Away
2.37
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
119911117117––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 15–17 Mariusz Baron Rafal Skotniczny has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.52 / Baron 2.37
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Skotniczny)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13182336
Skotniczny1.52
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 203 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it81% 153 of 189
Baron2.37
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 190 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back25% 64 of 255
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny5wins
AwayBaron5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny50%3 of 6
AwayBaron50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny6Baron4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S2Skotniczny6Baron4n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S3Skotniczny5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S4Skotniczny1Baron5n = 6Baron took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyBaronS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.233.2+1.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime612 / 1046 vs 869 / 181658.5%47.9%612 / 1046 vs 869 / 1816Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.52/Baron 2.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 18 · 16:20R. Skotniczny331111113M. Baron205960
WAug 18 · 11:05R. Skotniczny331111113M. Baron199460
LJul 1 · 16:40R. Skotniczny36119971M. Baron4181111113
LJul 1 · 10:40R. Skotniczny33912841M. Baron43111011113
WMar 24 · 18:05R. Skotniczny331111113M. Baron125250
LMar 24 · 09:45R. Skotniczny32117951M. Baron3851111113
LMar 12 · 16:05R. Skotniczny227780M. Baron331111113
WMar 12 · 10:05R. Skotniczny4251214113M. Baron4211101291
WDec 5 · 13:45R. Skotniczny48811117113M. Baron4211661182
LDec 5 · 11:20R. Skotniczny301110541M. Baron4281211113
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 23 · 06:45R. Gajda2.62114101152R. Skotniczny1.44711128113WSep 23 · 05:55R. Skotniczny1.6511711113O. Vincenec2.10611831WSep 21 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.451114113W. Tobiasz2.5541230WSep 21 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.83811281R. Skotniczny1.8611311113LSep 21 · 14:20P. Ostachowski4.991611511123R. Skotniczny1.141491113102LSep 21 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4571250J. Kaczmarek2.551114113WSep 21 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.9181914113O. Jadach1.8011171231LSep 21 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.6041180W. Tobiasz2.151113113LSep 21 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.83111411113R. Skotniczny1.86916631WSep 21 · 08:20O. Jadach1.91612851R. Skotniczny1.80111011113
M. Baron10
WSep 23 · 07:10M. Rus2.55331141M. Baron1.4511117113LSep 23 · 05:30R. Gajda1.75111165113M. Baron1.9599111162WSep 22 · 04:20M. Baron2.411111143S. Szostok1.5173120LSep 22 · 03:05M. Baron1.6311119992M. Sikon1.93771111113LSep 22 · 01:30M. Baron2.15711631P. Kurek1.6311711113LSep 22 · 24:30G. Marud1.91611911113M. Baron1.7811911882LSep 21 · 23:50M. Baron1.58811612122P. Slosarczyk2.021181110143WSep 21 · 22:20M. Baron1.951111113G. Marud1.756950LSep 21 · 21:05M. Baron1.80117138112M. Sikon1.858111111133LSep 21 · 19:55M. Baron2.108211101P. Kurek1.6711114123
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