TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Robert Jamrich vs Martin Filipek 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611911116117911
Martin Filipek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Filipek to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Martin Filipek at 57.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 3–4 Martin Filipek Robert Jamrich has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Filipek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1413 vs Filipek 1584
Filipek
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 20% vs Filipek 60%
Filipek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 40% vs Filipek 70%
Filipek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich +1 · Filipek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Filipek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 1.83 / Filipek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Filipek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13180662
Jamrich1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Filipek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeJamrich3wins
AwayFilipek4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderFilipek leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrichn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFilipek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich2Filipek5n = 7Filipek took 5 of 7
S2Jamrich5Filipek2n = 7Jamrich took 5 of 7
S3Jamrich4Filipek3n = 7Jamrich took 4 of 7
S4Jamrich2Filipek4n = 6Filipek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricJamrichFilipekJ − FBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match39.438.9+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 291 vs 270 / 60544.7%44.6%130 / 291 vs 270 / 605Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilipekJamrich 1.83/Filipek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Filipek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 23 · 07:25R. Jamrich4669111192M. Filipek46111167113
WAug 19 · 14:03R. Jamrich4111711123M. Filipek303116101
WAug 19 · 12:55R. Jamrich361111143M. Filipek2769120
LAug 12 · 14:00R. Jamrich3910115131M. Filipek4412611153
LAug 12 · 12:25R. Jamrich35611991M. Filipek4211911113
LAug 11 · 16:50R. Jamrich30611851M. Filipek3911611113
WAug 5 · 07:25R. Jamrich49711119113M. Filipek4411591182
R. Jamrich10
WSep 23 · 08:55F. Balcar1.501112611102R. Jamrich2.509101113123LSep 23 · 08:25A. Kral1.50911811113R. Jamrich2.5011711482WSep 19 · 10:04J. Dvorak1.619850R. Jamrich2.201111113LSep 19 · 08:55J. Kulveit1.801111113R. Jamrich1.913970LSep 19 · 08:25A. Kral1.5711711123R. Jamrich2.259119101LSep 19 · 07:25R. Jamrich2.0041111892J. Dvorak1.73114711113LSep 18 · 18:00F. Marat1.831111113R. Jamrich1.834590LSep 18 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.2049100D. Tichy1.611111123LSep 18 · 15:55R. Jamrich1.5710911111J. Dvorak2.2512117133WSep 18 · 14:55R. Jamrich1.80111012143F. Marat1.9161210121
M. Filipek10
WSep 23 · 07:55F. Balcar1.91612101152M. Filipek1.801110127113WSep 22 · 10:40M. Filipek2.0011411133B. Budik1.647118111WSep 22 · 08:55R. Muller2.109890M. Filipek1.671111113LSep 22 · 08:25F. Balcar1.91612811133M. Filipek1.801110119112WSep 22 · 07:25M. Filipek1.86911117113B. Budik1.8311741152LSep 21 · 14:45F. Balcar1.801111113M. Filipek1.906670WSep 21 · 12:55A. Kral2.00971513102M. Filipek1.7311111311123WSep 21 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.573790M. Filipek2.251111113LSep 21 · 11:25M. Filipek1.801312111372F. Balcar1.911514711113WSep 17 · 14:40M. Filipek1.831111113F. Marat1.834990
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