TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alexandr Virag vs Jiri Stach 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Alexandr Virag
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116911115117––
Jiri Stach
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:04 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeAlexandr Virag to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexandr Virag above · Jiri Stach below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Alexandr Virag at 60.3%
71 points played in total.
H2H Alexandr Virag 4–2 Jiri Stach Jiri Stach has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Virag beat Stach 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Virag
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Virag
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Virag 1374 vs Stach 1326
Virag
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Virag 60% vs Stach 40%
Virag
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Virag 50% vs Stach 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Virag +3 · Stach -1
Virag
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Virag)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVirag 1.57 / Stach 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Virag)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13177635
Virag1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 48 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it63% 25 of 40
Stach2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 33 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back17% 5 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVirag4wins
AwayStach2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderVirag leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVirag66.7%4 of 6
AwayStachn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Virag6Stach0n = 6Virag took 6 of 6
S2Virag3Stach3n = 6split evenly
S3Virag4Stach2n = 6Virag took 4 of 6
S4Virag2Stach2n = 4split evenly
S5Virag1Stach2n = 3Stach took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricViragStachV − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set60+6of 6Avg pointsper match44.039.8+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricViragStachBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 282 vs 147 / 32147.9%45.8%135 / 282 vs 147 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ViragVirag 1.57/Stach 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Virag · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Virag won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 22 · 10:00A. Virag6011141113113J. Stach5791691582
WMar 3 · 11:00A. Virag331111113J. Stach209830
LFeb 3 · 10:30A. Virag50111388102J. Stach549111111123
WFeb 3 · 08:00A. Virag4311911123J. Stach357117101
LSep 26 · 09:30A. Virag43111041172J. Stach44712113113
WSep 26 · 07:30A. Virag351211123J. Stach29109100
A. Virag10
WSep 22 · 12:30A. Virag1.4491111113A. Schneeberger2.63112521WSep 22 · 11:00A. Virag1.40111166133D. Tyn2.75981111112WSep 22 · 10:00J. Stach2.3891691582A. Virag1.5311141113113LSep 8 · 12:59E. Sionkala1.6751111113A. Virag2.10115371LSep 8 · 12:30E. Sionkala1.441111113A. Virag2.638770WSep 8 · 11:30A. Virag1.6781116113M. Kolek2.101151461LSep 8 · 10:30F. Zurek1.8391311113A. Virag1.831111691LSep 2 · 09:00E. Sionkala1.44811811113A. Virag2.6311811952WSep 2 · 08:30A. Virag1.571111123Z. Zientek2.2577100LSep 2 · 07:00A. Virag2.2091020E. Sionkala1.611112113
J. Stach10
LSep 22 · 12:00J. Stach1.61101291172D. Tyn2.201210117113WSep 22 · 11:30A. Schneeberger2.759980J. Stach1.401111113LSep 22 · 10:00J. Stach2.3891691582A. Virag1.5311141113113LSep 21 · 09:30Z. Zientek3.0012128113J. Stach1.3610101191WSep 21 · 08:00M. Kolek1.737830J. Stach2.001111113WSep 21 · 07:00P. Kalvar1.9112890J. Stach1.801411113LSep 21 · 06:30J. Stach1.2510180Z. Zientek3.751211113WSep 15 · 20:58M. Kolek1.61118111132J. Stach2.20131164113LSep 15 · 20:00M. Kolek1.83121112113J. Stach1.831031471LSep 15 · 19:00M. Jasek1.731111113J. Stach2.008590
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.