TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13161818
Starts Sep 20, 04:35Scheduled
Nazar Kovalchuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 35–5Last 10Won last 3
Head to head
15 – 8
All 23 meetings · 65.2%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
Ruslan Lazebnyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 16–4Last 10Won last 1
Nazar Kovalchuk arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 11h before this match
Kovalchuk beat Lazebnyi 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 1.61 / Lazebnyi 2.20
Setka Cup · #13161818
Kovalchuk1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it73% 104 of 143
Lazebnyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk7wins
AwayLazebnyi3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayLazebnyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk6Lazebnyi4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S2Kovalchuk5Lazebnyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Kovalchuk4Lazebnyi6n = 10Lazebnyi took 6 of 10
S4Kovalchuk4Lazebnyi2n = 6Kovalchuk took 4 of 6
S5Kovalchuk3Lazebnyi0n = 3Kovalchuk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukLazebnyiK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.235.7+1.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime385 / 746 vs 71 / 14351.6%49.7%385 / 746 vs 71 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 17:35N. Kovalchuk4071111113R. Lazebnyi27114661
WSep 17 · 22:15N. Kovalchuk47126711113R. Lazebnyi47101111872
WSep 17 · 01:45N. Kovalchuk44651111113R. Lazebnyi4311118672
WSep 16 · 03:15N. Kovalchuk341111123R. Lazebnyi2697100
WSep 12 · 11:35N. Kovalchuk421615113R. Lazebnyi32141350
LSep 11 · 18:05N. Kovalchuk228680R. Lazebnyi331111113
WSep 5 · 11:05N. Kovalchuk49111159133R. Lazebnyi40431111112
LSep 4 · 12:05N. Kovalchuk331110751R. Lazebnyi4391211113
LAug 31 · 20:15N. Kovalchuk198290R. Lazebnyi331111113
WAug 29 · 06:35N. Kovalchuk4211119113R. Lazebnyi33671191
N. Kovalchuk10
WSep 19 · 19:05O. Napirko2.2591191392N. Kovalchuk1.571151111113WSep 19 · 17:35N. Kovalchuk1.6771111113R. Lazebnyi2.10114661WSep 19 · 15:35V. Vlasenko2.251111861N. Kovalchuk1.5791311113LSep 19 · 13:35A. Shypilov2.1011911103N. Kovalchuk1.67711891LSep 19 · 12:35V. Boyko2.5012118113N. Kovalchuk1.501071191LSep 18 · 02:45V. Vlasenko2.50121135113N. Kovalchuk1.50107111182LSep 18 · 01:45O. Napirko2.5011311113N. Kovalchuk1.50511751LSep 18 · 24:15O. Mitla3.2511811113N. Kovalchuk1.33511871WSep 17 · 22:15R. Lazebnyi2.20101111872N. Kovalchuk1.61126711113WSep 17 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.105550N. Kovalchuk1.671111113
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 19 · 18:35V. Vlasenko2.25611681R. Lazebnyi1.5711811113LSep 19 · 17:35N. Kovalchuk1.6771111113R. Lazebnyi2.10114661LSep 19 · 16:05V. Boyko2.201111912103R. Lazebnyi1.6179111482WSep 19 · 14:05O. Napirko1.911211101082R. Lazebnyi1.801081212103WSep 19 · 12:05A. Shypilov2.754750R. Lazebnyi1.401111113LSep 18 · 03:15R. Lazebnyi1.675690O. Napirko2.101111113WSep 18 · 01:15O. Mitla2.757118101R. Lazebnyi1.4011611123WSep 17 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.636980R. Lazebnyi1.441111113LSep 17 · 22:15R. Lazebnyi2.20101111872N. Kovalchuk1.61126711113WSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko2.208111171R. Lazebnyi1.6111813113
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