TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139565
Played Sep 16Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181199119111210
Evald Gebek
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 101 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Radim Adam at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 4–3 Evald Gebek Evald Gebek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Gebek beat Adam 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:16What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Gebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1532 vs Gebek 1530
Adam
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Gebek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 30% vs Gebek 50%
Gebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -1 · Gebek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adam)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.85 / Gebek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adam)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139565
Adam1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Gebek1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeAdam4wins
AwayGebek3wins
5 of 7 to a deciderAdam leads 4–3, and 5 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam33.3%1 of 3
AwayGebek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam3Gebek4n = 7Gebek took 4 of 7
S2Adam6Gebek1n = 7Adam took 6 of 7
S3Adam1Gebek6n = 7Gebek took 6 of 7
S4Adam3Gebek2n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
S5Adam3Gebek2n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricAdamGebekA − GBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.342.7−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 380 vs 43 / 7551.6%57.3%196 / 380 vs 43 / 75Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.85/Gebek 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam521112101092E. Gebek549101212113
LMay 29 · 13:00R. Adam2210750E. Gebek341211113
WMay 29 · 10:30R. Adam331111113E. Gebek239590
WMay 28 · 13:30R. Adam46811511113E. Gebek4411511892
WMay 28 · 10:00R. Adam49911711113E. Gebek4411611882
WMay 6 · 21:30R. Adam54811912143E. Gebek521181110122
LMay 6 · 18:00R. Adam4011114862E. Gebek48871111113
R. Adam10
LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113WSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113LSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113LSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123LSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110LSep 11 · 20:00L. Velicka1.801111314113R. Adam1.91913111252LSep 11 · 19:00M. Blejchar1.831213153R. Adam1.831011130
E. Gebek10
WSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113LSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100WSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391WSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641LSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek1.67118116122I. Taichman2.10611411143LSep 13 · 07:30M. Jasek2.20811119113E. Gebek1.6111681182WSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LAug 7 · 20:59E. Gebek1.3311711272R. Guliak3.25911911113LAug 7 · 20:00E. Gebek1.832980M. Blejchar1.831111113WAug 7 · 19:30R. Guliak2.50481151E. Gebek1.5011115113
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