TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lubomir Vana vs Petr Pesout 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Lubomir Vana
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81114124111113––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLubomir Vana to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubomir Vana above · Petr Pesout below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 84 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Lubomir Vana at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vana
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vana 1396 vs Pesout 1347
Vana
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vana 0% vs Pesout 20%
Pesout
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vana 30% vs Pesout 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vana -6 · Pesout -2
Vana
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pesout form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.80 / Pesout 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vana)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13194063
Vana1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Pesout1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back20% 10 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaPesoutBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 70 vs 160 / 34841.4%46%29 / 70 vs 160 / 348Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.80/Pesout 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pesout won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Vana10
LSep 25 · 15:05J. Jr1.671111113L. Vana2.104870LSep 25 · 14:35T. Motacek1.67571311113L. Vana2.10111111472LSep 16 · 17:14M. Chmelicek1.571112113L. Vana2.2581080LSep 16 · 16:05R. Neterda1.831061111113L. Vana1.8312116682LSep 16 · 15:35J. Jr1.83115711123L. Vana1.83811119102LSep 16 · 14:35L. Vana1.802680M. Chmelicek1.911111113WMar 26 · 22:35L. Vosyka—115119102L. Vana—511511123WMar 26 · 21:35J. Vidourek2.14117971L. Vana1.6141111113LMar 26 · 20:35L. Vana—11150L. Vosyka—1311113WMar 26 · 19:05R. Pokorny—31191272L. Vana—1161110113
P. Pesout10
LSep 25 · 15:35P. Pesout2.253111171T. Motacek1.5711713113LSep 25 · 14:05J. Jr1.531141011113P. Pesout2.3871112682WSep 22 · 16:35M. Chmelicek1.83911111182P. Pesout1.83116613113LSep 22 · 16:09T. Krcil1.80111111113P. Pesout1.91137881LSep 22 · 15:35P. Pesout1.831110101182T. Krcil1.83712128113LSep 17 · 17:09P. Pesout2.255790T. Motacek1.571111113WSep 17 · 16:35P. Pesout2.382101111113T. Motacek1.5311128982LSep 17 · 15:05T. Krcil1.83119114113P. Pesout1.8371121122LSep 17 · 14:35L. Vosyka1.5361113143P. Pesout2.3811811121WSep 15 · 17:10O. Pros1.73571151P. Pesout2.0011118113
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