TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatolii Kovalenko vs Oleksandr Ovsiienko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Anatolii Kovalenko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511411––––
Oleksandr Ovsiienko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnatolii Kovalenko above · Oleksandr Ovsiienko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 58.2%
50 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Kovalenko 9–12 Oleksandr Ovsiienko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kovalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Ovsiienko
Correct
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1362 vs Ovsiienko 1424
Ovsiienko
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 20% vs Ovsiienko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 30% vs Ovsiienko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -1 · Ovsiienko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ovsiienko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.53 / Ovsiienko 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kovalenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13185899
Kovalenko1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 78 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it68% 53 of 78
Ovsiienko2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 79 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalenko6wins
AwayOvsiienko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayOvsiienko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko7Ovsiienko3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S2Kovalenko7Ovsiienko3n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S3Kovalenko8Ovsiienko2n = 10Kovalenko took 8 of 10
S4Kovalenko1Ovsiienko2n = 3Ovsiienko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalenkoOvsiienkoK − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.528.8+4.7per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoOvsiienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 542 vs 457 / 88152.4%51.9%284 / 542 vs 457 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.53/Ovsiienko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ovsiienko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:20A. Kovalenko178540O. Ovsiienko331111113
LSep 23 · 15:30A. Kovalenko4061161162O. Ovsiienko46115118113
WSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko331111113O. Ovsiienko185580
WSep 9 · 15:30A. Kovalenko331111113O. Ovsiienko185760
WSep 3 · 11:20A. Kovalenko341111123O. Ovsiienko2349100
WAug 6 · 09:50A. Kovalenko331111113O. Ovsiienko144280
LJul 23 · 12:20A. Kovalenko51138118112O. Ovsiienko551111911133
WJul 20 · 08:50A. Kovalenko331111113O. Ovsiienko176740
LNov 12 · 12:00A. Kovalenko26541161O. Ovsiienko4211119113
WNov 11 · 18:10A. Kovalenko351311113O. Ovsiienko2211830
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 24 · 08:20A. Kovalenko1.6713881182V. Melnykov2.101111119113LSep 23 · 19:00O. Lipeiko1.8081111113A. Kovalenko1.91117731WSep 23 · 17:30A. Kovalenko1.36126116113M. Stetsenko3.00101191142LSep 23 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.75115118113A. Kovalenko1.4061161162LSep 23 · 13:30S. Skhabitskiy2.501110311113A. Kovalenko1.5071211742LSep 23 · 12:30V. Smyk2.00271111153A. Kovalenko1.73111155132LSep 22 · 11:35O. Leonenko1.73126113113A. Kovalenko2.00101151152LSep 22 · 10:35F. Voinarovskyi1.8311115113A. Kovalenko1.83781141WSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113WSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113
O. Ovsiienko10
WSep 24 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy1.8348111152O. Ovsiienko1.83111168113LSep 23 · 18:30O. Ovsiienko1.8315114872M. Stetsenko1.831371111113LSep 23 · 16:30S. Skhabitskiy2.00691111113O. Ovsiienko1.7311118862WSep 23 · 15:30O. Ovsiienko2.75115118113A. Kovalenko1.4061161162LSep 23 · 14:30V. Smyk1.5011611113O. Ovsiienko2.50411651LSep 23 · 13:00O. Ovsiienko2.75711371O. Lipeiko1.4011711113LSep 21 · 11:35O. Ovsiienko1.8078131242M. Stetsenko1.9111111110113WSep 21 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.00312741O. Ovsiienko1.22111011113WSep 21 · 08:35O. Ovsiienko1.831111113S. Skhabitskiy1.831140WSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113
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