TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Hyriavyi vs Vasyl Matviichuk 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Viktor Hyriavyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13157111412113211
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Hyriavyi above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 99 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 64.1%
99 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Hyriavyi 35–53 Vasyl Matviichuk Viktor Hyriavyi has won 35 of their 88 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-53 in 88
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 18 in 88, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyriavyi 969 vs Matviichuk 1070
Matviichuk
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyriavyi 0% vs Matviichuk 40%
Matviichuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyriavyi 20% vs Matviichuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyriavyi -5 · Matviichuk +1
Hyriavyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Matviichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyriavyi 2.50 / Matviichuk 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Matviichuk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172301
Hyriavyi2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Matviichuk1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 79 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it84% 63 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyriavyi5wins
AwayMatviichuk5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyriavyi75%3 of 4
AwayMatviichuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyriavyi4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Hyriavyi5Matviichuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Hyriavyi6Matviichuk4n = 10Hyriavyi took 6 of 10
S4Hyriavyi3Matviichuk4n = 7Matviichuk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyriavyiMatviichukH − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.039.1−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyriavyiMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 345 vs 285 / 60132.2%47.4%111 / 345 vs 285 / 601Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukHyriavyi 2.50/Matviichuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 22 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi47137141122V. Matviichuk521511123113
LSep 8 · 10:04V. Hyriavyi157530V. Matviichuk331111113
WSep 8 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3911511123V. Matviichuk377119101
LSep 6 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi32911931V. Matviichuk4011711113
LSep 3 · 10:04V. Hyriavyi36138871V. Matviichuk44111111113
WSep 3 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3961111113V. Matviichuk32119841
LAug 31 · 07:00V. Hyriavyi23441231V. Matviichuk43111110113
WAug 19 · 10:29V. Hyriavyi47111159113V. Matviichuk4689111172
WAug 19 · 05:00V. Hyriavyi371111153V. Matviichuk2575130
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 22 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.171113113V. Hyriavyi4.5081190LSep 22 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi2.004590V. Khyzhnyak1.731111113LSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100LSep 20 · 14:30V. Hyriavyi2.638840S. Zherykhin1.441111113LSep 20 · 13:30A. Danylov2.001113113V. Hyriavyi1.7331190WSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530LSep 8 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.2511119113V. Hyriavyi3.75671191LSep 8 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi3.401330M. Zavoloka1.301111113WSep 8 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko1.407650V. Hyriavyi2.751111113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113LSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112LSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 17 · 08:00V. Kurliuk1.3011117113V. Matviichuk3.40741161WSep 8 · 10:04V. Matviichuk1.441111113V. Hyriavyi2.637530
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