Krzysztof Marcinowski vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 13Finished

Krzysztof Marcinowski

Home

4.50

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711611611––––

Konrad Staszczyk

Away

1.17

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:05 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%

Graded at full time

Konrad Staszczyk to win

79.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKrzysztof Marcinowski above · Konrad Staszczyk below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 52 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 79.4%

52 points played in total.

H2H Krzysztof Marcinowski 0–1 Konrad Staszczyk Krzysztof Marcinowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 0–1Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Staszczyk

Marcinowski 4.50/Staszczyk 1.17

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

79.4%

Staszczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Staszczyk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:05

79.4%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166

short by 6.4pp

85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.17 (79%)

Staszczyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-1 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Marcinowski 1449 vs Staszczyk 1779

Staszczyk

Correct

both rated, 330 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Marcinowski 60% vs Staszczyk 80%

Staszczyk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Marcinowski 30% vs Staszczyk 70%

Staszczyk

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Marcinowski -1 · Staszczyk +4

Staszczyk

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marcinowski: form 60%, the price implies 22%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarcinowski 4.50 / Staszczyk 1.166

Signal prob.21% / 79%

Edge (Staszczyk)-6.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeMarcinowski0wins

AwayStaszczyk1wins

Staszczyk leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away1

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricMarcinowskiStaszczykM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.045.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarcinowskiStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime113 / 259 vs 286 / 47043.6%60.9%113 / 259 vs 286 / 470Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13280222

Marcinowski4.50

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog31% won 10 of 32

Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9

Staszczyk1.17

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite68% won 239 of 351

Up 2–0, closes it92% 107 of 117

Up 1–0, closes it85% 175 of 206

Krzysztof Marcinowski vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Krzysztof Marcinowski vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.