Krzysztof Marcinowski vs Kamil Rudomina 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Krzysztof Marcinowski

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

611611211––––

Kamil Rudomina

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%

Graded at full time

Krzysztof Marcinowski to win

56.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingKrzysztof Marcinowski above · Kamil Rudomina below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 2-11

Point 47 set 3, 2-11 · our read held Krzysztof Marcinowski at 56.2%

47 points played in total.

H2H Krzysztof Marcinowski 7–5 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 5 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Marcinowski

Marcinowski 1.67/Rudomina 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.2%

Marcinowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Rudomina won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:20

56.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666

short by 3.8pp

60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Marcinowski

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

7-5 in 12

Marcinowski

Wrong

gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Marcinowski 1466 vs Rudomina 1471

Rudomina

Correct

both rated, 6 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Marcinowski 40% vs Rudomina 100%

Rudomina

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Marcinowski 30% vs Rudomina 50%

Rudomina

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Marcinowski +2 · Rudomina +5

Rudomina

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Marcinowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rudomina: form 100%, the price implies 48%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarcinowski 1.666 / Rudomina 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Marcinowski)-3.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMarcinowski6wins

AwayRudomina4wins

5 of 10 to a deciderMarcinowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMarcinowski57.1%4 of 7

AwayRudomina33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Marcinowski7Rudomina3n = 10Marcinowski took 7 of 10

S2Marcinowski5Rudomina5n = 10split evenly

S3Marcinowski8Rudomina2n = 10Marcinowski took 8 of 10

S4Marcinowski3Rudomina5n = 8Rudomina took 5 of 8

S5Marcinowski2Rudomina3n = 5Rudomina took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMarcinowskiRudominaM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.8+0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarcinowskiRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 256 vs 966 / 208043.8%46.4%112 / 256 vs 966 / 2080Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match

TT Elite Series · #13283285

Marcinowski1.67

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite68% won 19 of 28

Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18

Rudomina2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog35% won 180 of 510

Down 0–1, comes back23% 68 of 300

Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 141

Krzysztof Marcinowski vs Kamil Rudomina 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Krzysztof Marcinowski vs Kamil Rudomina 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.