Radoslaw Malinowski vs Krzysztof Marcinowski 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Radoslaw Malinowski

Home

1.53

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1181151214114––

Krzysztof Marcinowski

Away

2.38

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%

Graded at full time

Radoslaw Malinowski to win

60.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingRadoslaw Malinowski above · Krzysztof Marcinowski below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 76 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Radoslaw Malinowski at 60.8%

76 points played in total.

H2H Radoslaw Malinowski 3–0 Krzysztof Marcinowski Krzysztof Marcinowski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 3–0Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Malinowski

Malinowski 1.53/Marcinowski 2.38

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.8%

Malinowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Malinowski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:56

60.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 4.4pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Malinowski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

3-0 in 3

Malinowski

Correct

gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Malinowski 1429 vs Marcinowski 1451

Marcinowski

Wrong

both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Malinowski 60% vs Marcinowski 0%

Malinowski

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Malinowski 60% vs Marcinowski 20%

Malinowski

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Malinowski +1 · Marcinowski -5

Marcinowski

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Malinowski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marcinowski: form 0%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMalinowski 1.533 / Marcinowski 2.375

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Malinowski)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeMalinowski3wins

AwayMarcinowski0wins

Malinowski leads 3–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Malinowski2Marcinowski1n = 3Malinowski took 2 of 3

S2Malinowski2Marcinowski1n = 3Malinowski took 2 of 3

S3Malinowski3Marcinowski0n = 3Malinowski took 3 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home133%

3–1Four sets, home267%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricMalinowskiMarcinowskiMalinowski − MarcinowskiBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.029.3+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMalinowskiMarcinowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 484 vs 128 / 28047.5%45.7%230 / 484 vs 128 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.0per match

TT Elite Series · #13284132

Malinowski1.53

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 41 of 70

Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it84% 32 of 38

Marcinowski2.38

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog31% won 10 of 32

Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9

Radoslaw Malinowski vs Krzysztof Marcinowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Radoslaw Malinowski vs Krzysztof Marcinowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.