Szymon Sporek vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Szymon Sporek

Home

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

10124111012––––

Konrad Staszczyk

Away

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:08 and never touched: 59.6% is still 59.6%

Graded at full time

Szymon Sporek to win

59.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingSzymon Sporek above · Konrad Staszczyk below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 10-12

Point 59 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Szymon Sporek at 59.6%

59 points played in total.

H2H Szymon Sporek 5–1 Konrad Staszczyk Konrad Staszczyk has won 1 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 5–1Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sporek

Sporek 1.53/Staszczyk 2.38

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.6%

Sporek · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Staszczyk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:08

59.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 5.6pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Sporek

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-1 in 6

Sporek

Wrong

gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sporek 1711 vs Staszczyk 1775

Staszczyk

Correct

both rated, 64 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sporek 40% vs Staszczyk 60%

Staszczyk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sporek 40% vs Staszczyk 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Sporek -1 · Staszczyk -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Sporek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Staszczyk: form 60%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSporek 1.533 / Staszczyk 2.375

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Sporek)-5.6pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 5h before this match

Staszczyk beat Sporek 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeSporek5wins

AwayStaszczyk1wins

Sporek leads 5–1.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSporek100%5 of 5

AwayStaszczykn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sporek5Staszczyk1n = 6Sporek took 5 of 6

S2Sporek6Staszczyk0n = 6Sporek took 6 of 6

S3Sporek5Staszczyk1n = 6Sporek took 5 of 6

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home583%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 6 meetings

MetricSporekStaszczykSporek − StaszczykBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match34.022.8+11.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSporekStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 780 vs 282 / 46649.7%60.5%388 / 780 vs 282 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13275077

Sporek1.53

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 100 of 168

Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58

Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104

Staszczyk2.38

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog35% won 31 of 88

Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 57

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38

Szymon Sporek vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Szymon Sporek vs Konrad Staszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.