Konrad Staszczyk vs Jakub Wozniak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Konrad Staszczyk

Home

1.17

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

119116611119––

Jakub Wozniak

Away

4.50

At publish

Lost last 10

Form at publish

0–10Last 10Lost last 10

The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched: 81.0% is still 81.0%

Graded at full time

Konrad Staszczyk to win

81.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Jakub Wozniak below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 74 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 81.0%

74 points played in total.

H2H Konrad Staszczyk 8–0 Jakub Wozniak Jakub Wozniak has won 0 of their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 8–0Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Staszczyk

Staszczyk 1.17/Wozniak 4.50

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

81%

Staszczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Staszczyk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 23:40

81.0%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166

short by 4.8pp

85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.17 (79%)

Staszczyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

8-0 in 8

Staszczyk

Correct

gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Staszczyk 1777 vs Wozniak 1278

Staszczyk

Correct

both rated, 499 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Staszczyk 60% vs Wozniak 0%

Staszczyk

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Staszczyk 60% vs Wozniak 0%

Staszczyk

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Staszczyk +3 · Wozniak -10

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 81% · Strong (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wozniak: form 0%, the price implies 22%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStaszczyk 1.166 / Wozniak 4.50

Signal prob.81% / 19%

Edge (Staszczyk)-4.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeStaszczyk8wins

AwayWozniak0wins

3 of 8 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 8–0, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStaszczyk100%4 of 4

AwayWozniak0%0 of 4

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Staszczyk4Wozniak4n = 8split evenly

S2Staszczyk8Wozniak0n = 8Staszczyk took 8 of 8

S3Staszczyk2Wozniak6n = 8Wozniak took 6 of 8

S4Staszczyk7Wozniak0n = 7Staszczyk took 7 of 7

S5Staszczyk3Wozniak0n = 3Staszczyk took 3 of 3

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home113%

3–1Four sets, home450%

3–2Decider, home338%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 8 meetings

MetricStaszczykWozniakS − WBasisWins80+8in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match44.637.0+7.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStaszczykWozniakBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 469 vs 243 / 53760.8%45.3%285 / 469 vs 243 / 537Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match

TT Elite Series · #13280223

Staszczyk1.17

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite68% won 239 of 351

Up 2–0, closes it92% 107 of 117

Up 1–0, closes it85% 175 of 206

Wozniak4.50

0%won 0 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 10

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog31% won 36 of 116

Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40

Konrad Staszczyk vs Jakub Wozniak 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Konrad Staszczyk vs Jakub Wozniak 3-1 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

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Today's matches are already sealed.