Konrad Staszczyk vs Kamil Rudomina 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Konrad Staszczyk

Home

1.36

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

119116115––––

Kamil Rudomina

Away

3.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:40 and never touched: 73.2% is still 73.2%

Graded at full time

Konrad Staszczyk to win

73.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Kamil Rudomina below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-5

Point 53 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 73.2%

53 points played in total.

H2H Konrad Staszczyk 16–7 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 7 of their 23 meetings.

Last 10 · 9–1Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Staszczyk

Staszczyk 1.36/Rudomina 3.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

73.2%

Staszczyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Staszczyk won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 22:40

73.2%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363

short by 0.2pp

73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.36 (69%)

Staszczyk

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

16-7 in 23

Staszczyk

Correct

gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Staszczyk 1772 vs Rudomina 1472

Staszczyk

Correct

both rated, 300 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Staszczyk 60% vs Rudomina 80%

Rudomina

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Staszczyk 50% vs Rudomina 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Staszczyk +2 · Rudomina -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rudomina: form 80%, the price implies 33%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStaszczyk 1.363 / Rudomina 3.00

Signal prob.73% / 27%

Edge (Staszczyk)-0.2pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStaszczyk9wins

AwayRudomina1wins

3 of 10 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStaszczyk100%8 of 8

AwayRudominan = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Staszczyk8Rudomina2n = 10Staszczyk took 8 of 10

S2Staszczyk7Rudomina3n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10

S3Staszczyk7Rudomina3n = 10Staszczyk took 7 of 10

S4Staszczyk5Rudomina2n = 7Staszczyk took 5 of 7

S5Staszczyk2Rudomina1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricStaszczykRudominaS − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.931.4+9.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStaszczykRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 468 vs 963 / 207460.7%46.4%284 / 468 vs 963 / 2074Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match

TT Elite Series · #13280224

Staszczyk1.36

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite68% won 239 of 351

Up 2–0, closes it92% 107 of 117

Up 1–0, closes it85% 175 of 206

Rudomina3.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog35% won 180 of 510

Down 0–1, comes back23% 68 of 300

Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 141

Konrad Staszczyk vs Kamil Rudomina 3-0 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Konrad Staszczyk vs Kamil Rudomina 3-0 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.