Yurii Parahailo vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 11Finished

Yurii Parahailo

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

911115611611––

Oleksandr Storozhenko

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:32 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Yurii Parahailo to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 6-11

Point 70 set 4, 6-11 · our read held Yurii Parahailo at 54.9%

70 points played in total.

H2H Yurii Parahailo 15–12 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 12 of their 27 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Parahailo

Parahailo 1.73/Storozhenko 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.9%

Parahailo · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Storozhenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:32

54.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.0pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Parahailo

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

15-12 in 27

Parahailo

Wrong

gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Parahailo 1591 vs Storozhenko 1583

Parahailo

Wrong

both rated, 8 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Parahailo 60% vs Storozhenko 20%

Parahailo

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Parahailo 50% vs Storozhenko 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Parahailo -1 · Storozhenko -3

Storozhenko

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Parahailo) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Storozhenko: form 20%, the price implies 50%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsParahailo 1.727 / Storozhenko 2.00

Signal prob.55% / 45%

Edge (Parahailo)-3.0pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeParahailo7wins

AwayStorozhenko3wins

1 of 10 to a deciderParahailo leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeParahailo71.4%5 of 7

AwayStorozhenko33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Parahailo7Storozhenko3n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10

S2Parahailo5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly

S3Parahailo5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly

S4Parahailo5Storozhenko2n = 7Parahailo took 5 of 7

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricParahailoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.435.1+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricParahailoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 823 vs 309 / 59050.1%52.4%412 / 823 vs 309 / 590Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.0per match

Setka Cup · #13277153

Parahailo1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite59% won 84 of 142

Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54

Up 1–0, closes it75% 64 of 85

Storozhenko2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog47% won 53 of 112

Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 66

Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39

Yurii Parahailo vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 1-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Yurii Parahailo vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 1-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.