TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Khomenko vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118511119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Maksym Khomenko at 57.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 8–4 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:0257.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1576 vs Storozhenko 1595
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 20% vs Storozhenko 40%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 30% vs Storozhenko 50%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Storozhenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Khomenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.666 / Storozhenko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Khomenko)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13277166
Khomenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 83 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it100% 51 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it87% 62 of 71
Storozhenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko6wins
AwayStorozhenko4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayStorozhenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko7Storozhenko3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Khomenko7Storozhenko3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S3Khomenko6Storozhenko4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S4Khomenko1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoStorozhenkoK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match31.428.1+3.3per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 827 vs 309 / 58953.1%52.5%439 / 827 vs 309 / 589Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.67/Storozhenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 11 · 00:00M. Khomenko34616481O. Storozhenko47111411113
LOct 8 · 20:45M. Khomenko1912340O. Storozhenko361411113
WOct 4 · 16:05M. Khomenko331111113O. Storozhenko228680
WOct 4 · 01:00M. Khomenko331111113O. Storozhenko189450
WSep 28 · 08:35M. Khomenko331111113O. Storozhenko177550
LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko198470O. Storozhenko331111113
WAug 31 · 09:35M. Khomenko331111113O. Storozhenko219570
LAug 30 · 01:00M. Khomenko3911211962O. Storozhenko44811311113
WAug 24 · 09:35M. Khomenko3811115113O. Storozhenko28391151
WAug 23 · 00:00M. Khomenko331111113O. Storozhenko156720
M. Khomenko10
LOct 11 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.251161071D. Shchegelskyi1.5781112113WOct 11 · 14:35M. Khomenko1.57411113113V. Kovalchuk2.2511971192LOct 11 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.287115101Y. Parahailo3.5011311123LOct 11 · 02:00O. Alieksieev1.4412137113M. Khomenko2.6310111141LOct 11 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.20712111092D. Shchegelskyi1.611110312113LOct 11 · 00:00M. Khomenko1.50616481O. Storozhenko2.50111411113LOct 10 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.6111126111V. Kovalchuk2.2071411133WOct 10 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.28118711123Y. Parahailo3.50311119102WOct 9 · 02:15V. Kovalchuk1.838131181M. Khomenko1.83111113113LOct 9 · 01:15M. Khomenko2.2515116882D. Shchegelskyi1.571361111113
O. Storozhenko10
LOct 11 · 14:05D. Shchegelskyi2.00111111113O. Storozhenko1.73138771LOct 11 · 12:05O. Alieksieev1.3341111113O. Storozhenko3.25117681WOct 11 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk1.8091161282O. Storozhenko1.911191110113LOct 11 · 01:30Y. Parahailo1.911111113O. Storozhenko1.809560WOct 11 · 00:00M. Khomenko1.50616481O. Storozhenko2.50111411113WOct 10 · 22:00D. Shchegelskyi1.80129721O. Storozhenko1.91101111113LOct 10 · 20:00O. Alieksieev1.331211113O. Storozhenko3.2510760LOct 9 · 03:15D. Shchegelskyi1.9111117113O. Storozhenko1.80961191WOct 9 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.8391111113Y. Parahailo1.83117971WOct 8 · 23:45Y. Tebenko1.916970O. Storozhenko1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Khomenko
O. Storozhenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.